Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

279 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BLBD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +19
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
52%

Smart Money Signals — BLBD

Based on 280 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added BLBD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
280 hedge funds hold BLBD right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +21% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+48 new funds entered over the past year (+21% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 52% buying

146 buying137 selling
Last quarter: 146 funds bought or added vs 137 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+20 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new BLBD position: 41 → 67 → 32 → 52. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

44% of holders stayed for 2+ years

44% conviction (2yr+) 33% medium 24% new
122 out of 280 hedge funds have held BLBD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+11% value, -4% shares)

Value
+11%
Shares
-4%
Last quarter: total value of institutional BLBD holdings rose +11% even though funds reduced share count by 4%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

43 → 41 → 67 → 32 → 52 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 41 → 67 → 32 → 52. BLBD is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 46% veterans vs 29% newcomers

46% veterans 24% 1-2yr 29% new
Entry-cohort mix of 286 holders: 132 (46%) are 2+ year veterans, 70 entered 1–2 years ago, and 84 (29%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds

48% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 280 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in BLBD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BLBD

In 2026 Q1, 146 hedge funds were net buyers of BLBD (52 opened a new position, 94 added to an existing one), while 137 reduced or exited (104 trimmed, 33 sold completely) — a 52% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 48% of total institutional value in BLBD is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +19 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 280.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BLBD

How many hedge funds hold BLBD — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BLBD vs. share price

Market Analysis: BLBD

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BLBD

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much BLBD has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
BLBD
+29.2%
XLI
+11.0%

BLBD outperformed XLI by +18.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
BLBD
+2.1%
XLI
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, BLBD outperformed XLI by -2.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

24 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
6.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BLBD
279 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BLBD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 279 261 6.9%
13F Shares 33M 34M -4.09%
Total Value $1.79B $1.61B 11.47%
New Positions 51 32 +19
Increased Positions 94 110 -16
Closed Positions 33 38 -5
Reduced Positions 100 82 +18
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.5 Bullish

Statistics: BLBD

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

279 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BLBD. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 BLBD holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 325 Capital LLC 14.07% 679,826 $38.6M
2 Prospect Capital Advisors, LLC 3.05% 96,640 $5.5M
3 Neumeier Poma Investment Counsel LLC 2.93% 625,195 $35.5M
4 Quantedge Capital Pte Ltd 2.13% 68,600 $3.9M
5 Globeflex Capital L P 1.70% 197,803 $11.2M
6 Aurora Investment Counsel 1.17% 37,124 $2.1M
7 Westwood Holdings Group Inc 0.68% 1,654,770 $94.0M
8 Oberweis Asset Management Inc/ 0.65% 389,238 $22.1M
9 De Lisle Partners LLP 0.63% 92,417 $5.3M
10 SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC 0.58% 16,691 $948K
11 Redmond Asset Management, LLC 0.55% 35,201 $2.0M
12 Keeler Thomas Management LLC 0.52% 21,760 $1.2M
13 Insight Wealth Strategies, LLC 0.42% 65,844 $3.7M
14 North Star Investment Management Corp. 0.38% 110,610 $6.3M
15 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.31% 30,311 $1.7M
16 Hodges Capital Management Inc. 0.25% 52,825 $3.0M
17 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.20% 126,400 $7.2M
18 Somerset Trust Co 0.19% 10,853 $616K
19 Mill Road Capital Management LLC 0.17% 5,800 $329K
20 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.17% 10,061 $571K
21 New Vernon Capital Holdings II LLC 0.17% 3,964 $225K
22 Round Rock Advisors LLC 0.16% 18,606 $1.1M
23 Dark Forest Capital Management LP 0.15% 29,668 $1.7M
24 Empowered Funds, LLC 0.15% 408,714 $23.2M
25 Hudson Edge Investment Partners INC. 0.12% 14,668 $833K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Blue Bird Corp (BLBD)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BLBD?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added BLBD than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for BLBD?

Slight buying edge — 52% buying: Last quarter: 146 funds bought or added vs 137 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for BLBD holders?

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds: 53 of 280 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in BLBD. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held BLBD?

44% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 122 out of 280 hedge funds have held BLBD for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Blue Bird Corp (BLBD) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, BLBD has moved +2.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -2.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), BLBD has gained +29.2% vs +11.0% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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