Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Bigbear Ai Hldgs Inc (BBAI)

326 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BBAI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -30
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — BBAI

Based on 326 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BBAI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
326 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 356 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +46% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+102 new funds entered over the past year (+46% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

180 buying186 selling
Last quarter: 186 funds reduced or exited vs 180 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-47 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 74 → 91 → 100 → 53. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 37% entered in last year

■ 21% conviction (2yr+) ■ 43% medium ■ 37% new
Only 68 funds (21%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -15%, value -50%

Value
-50%
Shares
-15%
Last quarter: funds added -15% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -50%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~53 new funds/quarter

101 → 74 → 91 → 100 → 53 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 74 → 91 → 100 → 53. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱

Early stage — 58% of holders entered in last year

■ 22% veterans ■ 20% 1-2yr ■ 58% new
Of 347 current holders: 201 (58%) entered in the past year, only 78 (22%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
🏆

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds

40% from top-100 AUM funds
46 of 319 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in BBAI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BBAI

In 2026 Q1, 180 hedge funds were net buyers of BBAI (53 opened a new position, 127 added to an existing one), while 186 reduced or exited (103 trimmed, 83 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 40% of total institutional value in BBAI is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -30 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 326.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BBAI

How many hedge funds hold BBAI — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BBAI vs. share price

Market Analysis: BBAI

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BBAI

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Bigbear Ai Hldgs Inc (BBAI) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much BBAI has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLK) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
BBAI
+10.2%
XLK
+39.8%

BBAI outperformed XLK by -29.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
BBAI
-4.9%
XLK
+5.4%

Since the filing became public, BBAI outperformed XLK by -10.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

24 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BBAI
326 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BBAI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 326 356 -8.43%
13F Shares 198M 235M -15.46%
Total Value $658M $1.32B -49.99%
New Positions 53 100 -47
Increased Positions 112 151 -39
Closed Positions 83 54 +29
Reduced Positions 103 58 +45
Total Calls 13 17 -23.53%
Total Puts 15 23 -34.78%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.15 1.35 Neutral

Statistics: BBAI

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

326 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BBAI. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 BBAI holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Themes Management Co LLC 0.74% 340,097 $1.2M
2 Scientech Research LLC 0.62% 212,009 $746K
3 Skaana Management L.P. 0.49% 412,422 $1.5M
4 Skaana Management L.P. 0.48% 405,300 $1.4M
5 AlphaCentric Advisors LLC 0.26% 75,000 $264K
6 Fiduciary Alliance LLC 0.16% 679,066 $2.6M
7 Graham Capital Management, L.P. 0.14% 1,627,417 $5.7M
8 AlphaQuest LLC 0.11% 356,421 $1.9M
9 Tuttle Capital Management, LLC 0.11% 18,560 $65K
10 Keynote Financial Services LLC 0.10% 52,489 $185K
11 VARCOV Co. 0.10% 74,750 $263K
12 Crawford Fund Management, LLC 0.06% 90,000 $317K
13 Deltec Asset Management LLC 0.06% 92,700 $326K
14 Skaana Management L.P. 0.06% 48,500 $171K
15 PFG Investments, LLC 0.06% 347,920 $1.2M
16 GM Advisory Group, LLC 0.05% 400,000 $1.4M
17 R Squared Ltd 0.05% 27,171 $96K
18 Fortis Group Advisors, LLC 0.05% 74,339 $296K
19 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.05% 113,403 $399K
20 Keystone Wealth Services, LLC 0.04% 57,706 $203K
21 Sargent Investment Group, LLC 0.04% 92,900 $327K
22 Nebula Research & Development LLC 0.04% 71,398 $485K
23 Gibbs Wealth Management 0.04% 83,682 $295K
24 Havemeyer Place LP 0.04% 91,026 $320K
25 Vident Advisory, LLC 0.03% 1,111,219 $3.9M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Bigbear Ai Hldgs Inc (BBAI)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BBAI?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BBAI positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for BBAI?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 186 funds reduced or exited vs 180 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for BBAI holders?

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds: 46 of 319 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in BBAI. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held BBAI?

Mostly new holders — 37% entered in last year: Only 68 funds (21%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Bigbear Ai Hldgs Inc (BBAI) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, BBAI has moved -4.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.4% for the XLK sector ETF — an outperformance of -10.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), BBAI has gained +10.2% vs +39.8% for XLK. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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