Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAER)

58 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BAER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -12
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
39%

Smart Money Signals — BAER

Based on 58 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BAER positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 83% of 3.0Y peak

83% of all-time peak
58 funds currently hold this stock — 83% of the 3.0-year high of 70 funds (reached 2026 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+5 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🔴

Heavy selling pressure — only 39% buying

25 buying39 selling
Last quarter: 39 funds sold vs only 25 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-17 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 10 → 9 → 27 → 10. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌

Mixed — 29% long-term, 38% new

■ 29% conviction (2yr+) ■ 33% medium ■ 38% new
Of the 58 current holders: 17 (29%) held >2 years, 19 held 1–2 years, and 22 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~10 new funds/quarter

8 → 10 → 9 → 27 → 10 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 10 → 9 → 27 → 10. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 24% veterans, 43% new entrants

■ 24% veterans ■ 33% 1-2yr ■ 43% new
Of 58 current holders: 14 (24%) held 2+ years, 19 held 1–2 years, 25 (43%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100

8% from top-100 AUM funds
17 of 58 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BAER

In 2026 Q2, 25 hedge funds were net buyers of BAER (10 opened a new position, 15 added to an existing one), while 39 reduced or exited (17 trimmed, 22 sold completely) — a 39% buyer ratio, indicating net institutional distribution. Net fund flow last quarter: -12 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 58.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BAER

How many hedge funds hold BAER — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BAER vs. share price

Market Analysis: BAER

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BAER

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

4 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BAER
58 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BAER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 58 70 -17.14%
13F Shares 14M 22M -38.22%
Total Value $26M $43M -40.01%
New Positions 10 27 -17
Increased Positions 15 17 -2
Closed Positions 22 11 +11
Reduced Positions 17 10 +7
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: BAER

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

58 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BAER. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 BAER holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Kieckhefer Group LLC 0.13% 168,366 $323K
2 HighMark Wealth Management LLC 0.12% 220,162 $365K
3 Peterson Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.05% 233,323 $448K
4 First Manhattan CO. LLC. 0.03% 6,020,430 $11.6M
5 Ruggaard & Associates LLC 0.02% 29,955 $58K
6 Scratch Capital LLC 0.01% 13,600 $26K
7 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 255,583 $491K
8 Coston, McIsaac & Partners 0.01% 16,750 $32K
9 Cerity Partners LLC 0.01% 2,445,657 $4.7M
10 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 87,724 $168K
11 Pathstone Holdings, LLC 0.00% 296,192 $569K
12 Burk Holdings LLC 0.00% 2,000 $4K
13 Marshall Wace, LLP 0.00% 868,374 $1.7M
14 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) 0.00% 25,934 $50K
15 Clifford Swan Investment Counsel LLC 0.00% 15,532 $30K
16 Apollon Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 39,000 $75K
17 Centiva Capital, LP 0.00% 27,849 $53K
18 Vise Technologies, Inc. 0.00% 14,525 $28K
19 Private Advisor Group, LLC 0.00% 25,000 $48K
20 HB Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 13,100 $25K
21 Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services, LLC 0.00% 28,578 $55K
22 Squarepoint Ops LLC 0.00% 36,403 $70K
23 Vanguard Fiduciary Trust Co 0.00% 181,987 $349K
24 Captrust Financial Advisors 0.00% 25,750 $49K
25 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 2,000 $4K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAER)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BAER?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their BAER positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for BAER?

Heavy selling pressure — only 39% buying: Last quarter: 39 funds sold vs only 25 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.

What is the fund quality score for BAER holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 8% AUM from top-100: 17 of 58 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 8% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held BAER?

Mixed — 29% long-term, 38% new: Of the 58 current holders: 17 (29%) held >2 years, 19 held 1–2 years, and 22 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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