Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAER)

70 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in BAER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +16
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
68%

Smart Money Signals — BAER

Based on 70 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added BAER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
70 hedge funds hold BAER right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +13% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+8 new funds entered over the past year (+13% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 68% buying

44 buying21 selling
Last quarter: 44 funds were net buyers (27 opened a brand new position + 17 added to an existing one). Only 21 were sellers (10 trimmed + 11 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+18 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new BAER position: 8 → 10 → 9 → 27. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 46% entered in last year

■ 17% conviction (2yr+) ■ 37% medium ■ 46% new
Only 12 funds (17%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

15 → 8 → 10 → 9 → 27 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 8 → 10 → 9 → 27. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 19% veterans, 50% new entrants

■ 19% veterans ■ 31% 1-2yr ■ 50% new
Of 70 current holders: 13 (19%) held 2+ years, 22 held 1–2 years, 35 (50%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100

6% from top-100 AUM funds
15 of 70 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
4.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — BAER

In 2026 Q1, 44 hedge funds were net buyers of BAER (27 opened a new position, 17 added to an existing one), while 21 reduced or exited (10 trimmed, 11 sold completely) — a 68% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. Net fund flow last quarter: +16 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 70.

Hedge Fund Ownership: BAER

How many hedge funds hold BAER — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of BAER vs. share price

Market Analysis: BAER

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: BAER

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAER) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much BAER has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 82d ago
BAER
-5.6%
XLI
+11.9%

BAER outperformed XLI by -17.5% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 37d ago
BAER
+12.0%
XLI
+5.5%

Since the filing became public, BAER outperformed XLI by +6.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

5 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: BAER
70 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in BAER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 70 54 29.63%
13F Shares 22M 21M 5.84%
Total Value $43M $38M 14.06%
New Positions 27 9 +18
Increased Positions 17 14 +3
Closed Positions 11 7 +4
Reduced Positions 10 14 -4
Total Calls 0 0 -
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: BAER

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

70 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in BAER. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 BAER holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Kieckhefer Group LLC 0.19% 208,366 $413K
2 HighMark Wealth Management LLC 0.10% 130,162 $258K
3 Enclave Advisors LLC 0.08% 304,506 $603K
4 Blackstone Inc. 0.07% 9,624,610 $19.1M
5 Peterson Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.06% 233,323 $462K
6 First Manhattan CO. LLC. 0.03% 5,763,555 $11.4M
7 Scratch Capital LLC 0.02% 13,600 $27K
8 Mill Creek Capital Advisors, LLC 0.01% 296,192 $586K
9 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 255,583 $506K
10 Catalyst Funds Management Pty Ltd 0.01% 21,300 $42K
11 Stanley-Laman Group, Ltd. 0.01% 28,575 $57K
12 Coston, McIsaac & Partners 0.00% 9,500 $18K
13 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 75,843 $150K
14 Marshall Wace, LLP 0.00% 1,021,524 $2.0M
15 Walleye Capital LLC 0.00% 216,325 $428K
16 Burk Holdings LLC 0.00% 2,000 $4K
17 Apollon Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 39,000 $77K
18 Clifford Swan Investment Counsel LLC 0.00% 15,532 $31K
19 OMERS ADMINISTRATION Corp 0.00% 75,000 $148K
20 Kingsview Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 35,000 $69K
21 Susquehanna Fundamental Investments, LLC 0.00% 11,922 $24K
22 Centiva Capital, LP 0.00% 56,248 $111K
23 Cerity Partners LLC 0.00% 215,358 $426K
24 Quadrature Capital Ltd 0.00% 12,336 $24K
25 Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC 0.00% 14,500 $29K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAER)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for BAER?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added BAER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for BAER?

More buyers than sellers — 68% buying: Last quarter: 44 funds were net buyers (27 opened a brand new position + 17 added to an existing one). Only 21 were sellers (10 trimmed + 11 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for BAER holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 6% AUM from top-100: 15 of 70 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 6% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held BAER?

Mostly new holders — 46% entered in last year: Only 12 funds (17%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Bridger Aerospace Grp Hldgs (BAER) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, BAER has moved +12.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.5% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of +6.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), BAER has gained -5.6% vs +11.9% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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