Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA)

372 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AXTA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -40
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
45%

Smart Money Signals — AXTA

Based on 375 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AXTA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 90% of 3.0Y peak

90% of all-time peak
375 funds currently hold this stock — 90% of the 3.0-year high of 415 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 4% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
15 fewer hedge funds hold AXTA compared to a year ago (-4% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying

196 buying243 selling
Last quarter: 243 funds reduced or exited vs 196 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-55 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 60 → 56 → 109 → 54. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 21% new
223 out of 375 hedge funds have held AXTA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +1%, value -14%

Value
-13%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: funds added +1% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -14%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

61 → 60 → 56 → 109 → 54 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 60 → 56 → 109 → 54. A growing number of institutions are discovering AXTA each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 26% newcomers

■ 66% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 26% new
Entry-cohort mix of 380 holders: 251 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 32 entered 1–2 years ago, and 97 (26%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 374 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AXTA

In 2026 Q1, 196 hedge funds were net buyers of AXTA (54 opened a new position, 142 added to an existing one), while 243 reduced or exited (149 trimmed, 94 sold completely) — a 45% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 35% of total institutional value in AXTA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -40 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 375.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AXTA

How many hedge funds hold AXTA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AXTA vs. share price

Market Analysis: AXTA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AXTA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AXTA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
AXTA
+21.9%
SPY
+15.9%

AXTA outperformed SPY by +6.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
AXTA
+26.0%
SPY
+2.0%

Since the filing became public, AXTA outperformed SPY by +24.0% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

28 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AXTA
372 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AXTA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 372 415 -10.36%
13F Shares 223M 220M 1.44%
Total Value $6.10B $7.07B -13.71%
New Positions 52 109 -57
Increased Positions 136 129 +7
Closed Positions 95 81 +14
Reduced Positions 149 139 +10
Total Calls 4 5 -20.0%
Total Puts 2 4 -50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.8 Bullish

Statistics: AXTA

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

372 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AXTA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AXTA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 FIFTHDELTA Ltd 15.32% 4,007,579 $111.0M
2 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 7.15% 442,400 $12.3M
3 Luminus Management LLC 6.68% 399,322 $11.1M
4 Parsifal Capital Management, LP 6.08% 1,863,336 $51.6M
5 Lakewood Capital Management, LP 5.07% 2,895,648 $80.2M
6 Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd 2.52% 922,310 $25.5M
7 Channing Capital Management, LLC 2.09% 2,946,710 $81.6M
8 Shapiro Capital Management LLC 2.05% 1,183,018 $32.8M
9 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 1.85% 2,050,000 $56.8M
10 Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss LLC 1.66% 18,261,518 $505.8M
11 Artisan Partners Limited Partnership 1.28% 28,796,203 $797.7M
12 Sessa Capital IM, L.P. 1.12% 2,223,329 $61.6M
13 Turas Capital Management LP 1.08% 152,100 $4.2M
14 Ariel Investments, LLC 1.07% 3,466,960 $96.0M
15 Arnhold LLC 1.02% 500,700 $13.9M
16 Leeward Investments, LLC - MA 1.01% 736,450 $20.4M
17 Stanley Capital Management, LLC 1.00% 216,600 $6.0M
18 Aurora Investment Counsel 0.80% 51,960 $1.4M
19 Aristotle Capital Boston, LLC 0.67% 385,910 $10.7M
20 Water Island Capital LLC 0.64% 206,902 $5.7M
21 Taconic Capital Advisors LP 0.60% 50,000 $1.4M
22 Perpetual Ltd 0.59% 1,398,737 $38.7M
23 Advisors Preferred, LLC 0.48% 118,362 $3.3M
24 Aigen Investment Management, LP 0.44% 61,909 $1.7M
25 Walnut Level Capital LLC 0.41% 17,500 $485K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AXTA?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AXTA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AXTA?

More sellers than buyers — 45% buying: Last quarter: 243 funds reduced or exited vs 196 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AXTA holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 52 of 374 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AXTA?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 223 out of 375 hedge funds have held AXTA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AXTA has moved +26.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +2.0% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of +24.0%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AXTA has gained +21.9% vs +15.9% for SPY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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