Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA)

353 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AXTA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -22
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
43%

Smart Money Signals — AXTA

Based on 355 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AXTA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 85% of 3.0Y peak

85% of all-time peak
355 funds currently hold this stock — 85% of the 3.0-year high of 417 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 8% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
32 fewer hedge funds hold AXTA compared to a year ago (-8% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying

163 buying215 selling
Last quarter: 215 funds reduced or exited vs 163 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-6 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 56 → 109 → 54 → 48. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 19% new
222 out of 355 hedge funds have held AXTA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +27% but shares only +4% — price-driven

Value
+26%
Shares
+3%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +27%, but actual share count only changed +4%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

62 → 56 → 109 → 54 → 48 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 56 → 109 → 54 → 48. AXTA is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 360 holders: 246 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 38 entered 1–2 years ago, and 76 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
57 of 354 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in AXTA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.1
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.1/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AXTA

In 2026 Q2, 163 hedge funds were net buyers of AXTA (48 opened a new position, 115 added to an existing one), while 215 reduced or exited (145 trimmed, 70 sold completely) — a 43% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. Net selling has persisted for two consecutive quarters. 46% of total institutional value in AXTA is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -22 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 355.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AXTA

How many hedge funds hold AXTA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AXTA vs. share price

Market Analysis: AXTA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AXTA

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AXTA has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 79d ago
AXTA
-2.7%
SPY
+1.4%

AXTA outperformed SPY by -4.1% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 34d ago
AXTA
-10.8%
SPY
-2.4%

Since the filing became public, AXTA outperformed SPY by -8.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

13 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AXTA
353 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AXTA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 353 377 -6.37%
13F Shares 234M 226M 3.64%
Total Value $7.82B $6.18B 26.53%
New Positions 48 54 -6
Increased Positions 114 138 -24
Closed Positions 71 94 -23
Reduced Positions 142 150 -8
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.5 0.5 Bullish

Statistics: AXTA

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

353 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AXTA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AXTA holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 FIFTHDELTA Ltd 14.02% 3,494,940 $119.6M
2 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 10.23% 645,643 $22.1M
3 Parsifal Capital Management, LP 9.94% 2,398,295 $82.1M
4 Lakewood Capital Management, LP 6.04% 3,423,648 $117.2M
5 Channing Capital Management, LLC 2.63% 3,332,907 $114.1M
6 Sessa Capital IM, L.P. 2.03% 3,539,329 $121.1M
7 Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss LLC 1.82% 17,505,233 $599.0M
8 Artisan Partners Limited Partnership 1.72% 31,733,342 $1.09B
9 Regents Gate Capital LLP 1.20% 26,416 $904K
10 Arnhold LLC 1.20% 500,700 $17.1M
11 Ariel Investments, LLC 1.18% 3,462,010 $118.5M
12 Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd 1.13% 346,041 $11.8M
13 Leeward Investments, LLC - MA 1.11% 711,408 $24.3M
14 Stanley Capital Management, LLC 0.98% 216,600 $7.4M
15 Aurora Investment Counsel 0.90% 51,119 $1.7M
16 Aristotle Capital Boston, LLC 0.74% 322,430 $11.0M
17 Perpetual Ltd 0.71% 1,449,058 $49.6M
18 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 0.38% 337,000 $11.5M
19 LMR Partners LLP 0.38% 2,938,056 $100.5M
20 AQR Arbitrage LLC 0.36% 743,767 $25.2M
21 Clearline Capital LP 0.34% 167,724 $5.7M
22 Marathon Asset Management Ltd 0.31% 224,707 $7.7M
23 Water Island Capital LLC 0.31% 97,500 $3.3M
24 Alpine Associates Management INC. 0.31% 143,556 $4.9M
25 Capitolis Liquid Global Markets LLC 0.25% 1,684,960 $57.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AXTA?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AXTA positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AXTA?

More sellers than buyers — 43% buying: Last quarter: 215 funds reduced or exited vs 163 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AXTA holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 57 of 354 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in AXTA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AXTA?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 222 out of 355 hedge funds have held AXTA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Axalta Coating Sys Ltd (AXTA) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AXTA has moved -10.8% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -2.4% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -8.4%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), AXTA has gained -2.7% vs +1.4% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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