Stock Analysis

AMERICAN AXLE & MFG HLDGS IN (AXL)

236 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AXL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +6
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — AXL

Based on 223 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
223 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
📶

Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+31 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

122 buying99 selling
Last quarter: 122 funds bought or added vs 99 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-17 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 38 → 35 → 47 → 30. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 65% conviction (2yr+) ■ 17% medium ■ 18% new
146 out of 223 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +6%, value -96%

Value
-96%
Shares
+6%
Last quarter: funds added +6% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -96%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~30 new funds/quarter

34 → 38 → 35 → 47 → 30 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 38 → 35 → 47 → 30. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 74% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 74% veterans ■ 8% 1-2yr ■ 19% new
Of 236 current holders: 174 (74%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 40% AUM from top-100 funds

40% from top-100 AUM funds
32 of 223 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 40% of total institutional value in this stock. When the biggest players hold the majority of a position, it reflects deep institutional conviction — large funds have the most resources for due diligence and the most at stake.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AXL

How many hedge funds hold AXL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AXL vs. share price

Market Analysis: AXL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AXL

-- --
Hedge Fund Positioning: AXL
236 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AXL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 236 232 1.72%
13F Shares 155M 146M 6.16%
Total Value $990M $26.22B -96.22%
New Positions 31 48 -17
Increased Positions 98 91 +7
Closed Positions 27 32 -5
Reduced Positions 92 84 +8
Total Calls 9 13 -30.77%
Total Puts 7 8 -12.5%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.78 0.62 Neutral

Statistics: AXL

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --
Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
236 + investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AXL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed