Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC (AVDL)

219 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AVDL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +20
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — AVDL

Based on 200 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AVDL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
200 hedge funds hold AVDL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +29% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+45 new funds entered over the past year (+29% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

118 buying119 selling
Last quarter: 118 funds bought or added vs 119 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+33 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AVDL position: 43 → 25 → 36 → 69. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 38% long-term, 32% new

38% conviction (2yr+) 30% medium 32% new
Of the 200 current holders: 76 (38%) held >2 years, 59 held 1–2 years, and 65 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -3%, value -41%

Value
-41%
Shares
-3%
Last quarter: funds added -3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -41%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

19 → 43 → 25 → 36 → 69 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 43 → 25 → 36 → 69. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 49% of holders stayed 2+ years

49% veterans 15% 1-2yr 36% new
Of 219 current holders: 108 (49%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.

Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds

25% from top-100 AUM funds
32 of 200 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.1
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.1/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AVDL

How many hedge funds hold AVDL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AVDL vs. share price

Market Analysis: AVDL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AVDL

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

29 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
6.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AVDL
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 22 days 219 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AVDL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 219 191 14.66%
13F Shares 80M 83M -3.47%
Total Value $1.72B $2.94B -41.47%
New Positions 75 36 +39
Increased Positions 62 70 -8
Closed Positions 51 22 +29
Reduced Positions 88 71 +17
Total Calls 12 9 33.33%
Total Puts 9 6 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.67 Neutral

Statistics: AVDL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

219 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AVDL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 1 institutional holders of AVDL — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 IFP Advisors, Inc 0.00% 20
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — AVADEL PHARMACEUTICALS PLC (AVDL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AVDL?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AVDL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AVDL?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 118 funds bought or added vs 119 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AVDL holders?

Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds: 32 of 200 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AVDL?

Mixed — 38% long-term, 32% new: Of the 200 current holders: 76 (38%) held >2 years, 59 held 1–2 years, and 65 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.