Based on 494 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 9 quarters in a row
For 9 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AU than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
494 hedge funds hold AU right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +101% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+248 new funds entered over the past year (+101% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 60% buying
297 buying195 selling
Last quarter: 297 funds were net buyers (122 opened a brand new position + 175 added to an existing one). Only 195 were sellers (160 trimmed + 35 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
⚠️
Fewer new buyers each quarter (-15 vs last Q)
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 52 → 95 → 137 → 122. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
📌
Mixed — 39% long-term, 45% new
■ 39% conviction (2yr+)
■ 16% medium
■ 45% new
Of the 494 current holders: 192 (39%) held >2 years, 81 held 1–2 years, and 221 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +10%, value -94%
Last quarter: funds added +10% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -94%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
🚀
Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in
79 → 52 → 95 → 137 → 122 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 52 → 95 → 137 → 122. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 48% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 48% veterans
■ 6% 1-2yr
■ 46% new
Of 523 current holders: 251 (48%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds
47% from top-100 AUM funds
42 of 494 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in AU. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
5.5
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.5/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.