Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Algoma Stl Group Inc (ASTL)

101 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ASTL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -8
Streak
5Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — ASTL

Based on 101 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 5 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ASTL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 75% of 3.0Y peak

75% of all-time peak
101 funds currently hold this stock — 75% of the 3.0-year high of 135 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 23% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
31 fewer hedge funds hold ASTL compared to a year ago (-23% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

54 buying60 selling
Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 54 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~17 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 24 → 23 → 22 → 17. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

53% of holders stayed for 2+ years

53% conviction (2yr+) 31% medium 16% new
54 out of 101 hedge funds have held ASTL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -15%, value -98%

Value
-97%
Shares
-15%
Last quarter: funds added -15% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -98%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

21 → 24 → 23 → 22 → 17 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 24 → 23 → 22 → 17. ASTL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 66% veterans vs 18% newcomers

66% veterans 16% 1-2yr 18% new
Entry-cohort mix of 112 holders: 74 (66%) are 2+ year veterans, 18 entered 1–2 years ago, and 20 (18%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 10% AUM from top-100

10% from top-100 AUM funds
25 of 100 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 10% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
2.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ASTL

In 2026 Q1, 54 hedge funds were net buyers of ASTL (17 opened a new position, 37 added to an existing one), while 60 reduced or exited (35 trimmed, 25 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 5-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. Net fund flow last quarter: -8 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 101.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ASTL

How many hedge funds hold ASTL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ASTL vs. share price

Market Analysis: ASTL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ASTL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Algoma Stl Group Inc (ASTL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ASTL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (SPY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
ASTL
+21.3%
SPY
+14.1%

ASTL outperformed SPY by +7.2% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
ASTL
-3.8%
SPY
+0.3%

Since the filing became public, ASTL outperformed SPY by -4.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ASTL
101 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ASTL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 101 109 -7.34%
13F Shares 73M 86M -14.98%
Total Value $303M $14.48B -97.91%
New Positions 17 22 -5
Increased Positions 31 42 -11
Closed Positions 25 36 -11
Reduced Positions 33 25 +8
Total Calls 5 10 -50.0%
Total Puts 7 11 -36.36%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.4 1.1 Bearish

Statistics: ASTL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

101 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ASTL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ASTL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Littlejohn & Co LLC 13.48% 3,446,503 $14.2M
2 MMCAP International Inc. SPC 4.58% 12,845,622 $53.1M
3 CDC Financial, Inc. 4.24% 1,613,749 $6.7M
4 LM Asset Management Inc. 3.79% 1,765,000 $7.3M
5 Solas Capital Management, LLC 2.49% 1,047,454 $4.3M
6 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 2.14% 15,930,818 $65.8M
7 Ewing Morris & Co. Investment Partners Ltd. 1.32% 710,000 $2.9M
8 Aegis Financial Corp 1.27% 1,786,122 $7.4M
9 Bain Capital Credit, LP 1.13% 825,777 $3.4M
10 Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd. 0.95% 3,207,480 $13.2M
11 Jb Capital Partners LP 0.62% 872,277 $3.6M
12 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 0.45% 6,028,929 $24.9M
13 CDC Financial, Inc. 0.37% 140,000 $578K
14 Sourcerock Group LLC 0.22% 1,306,403 $5.4M
15 AYAL Capital Advisors Ltd 0.11% 95,000 $392K
16 Bracebridge Capital, LLC 0.10% 924,931 $3.8M
17 Readystate Asset Management LP 0.09% 463,228 $1.9M
18 Terril Brothers, INC. 0.07% 58,000 $240K
19 CenterBook Partners LP 0.05% 233,509 $964K
20 Scientech Research LLC 0.05% 13,748 $57K
21 Quadrature Capital Ltd 0.04% 878,540 $3.6M
22 Purpose Unlimited Inc. 0.03% 200,000 $825K
23 EJF Capital LP 0.03% 11,000 $45K
24 Quinn Opportunity Partners LLC 0.03% 142,336 $588K
25 Quantbot Technologies LP 0.03% 157,928 $652K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Algoma Stl Group Inc (ASTL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ASTL?

Selling streak — 5 quarters in a row: For 5 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ASTL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for ASTL?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 54 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ASTL holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 10% AUM from top-100: 25 of 100 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 10% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held ASTL?

53% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 54 out of 101 hedge funds have held ASTL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Algoma Stl Group Inc (ASTL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ASTL has moved -3.8% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.3% for the SPY sector ETF — an outperformance of -4.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ASTL has gained +21.3% vs +14.1% for SPY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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