Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Arvinas Inc (ARVN)

202 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ARVN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +1
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — ARVN

Based on 203 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ARVN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 94% of 3.0Y peak

94% of all-time peak
203 funds currently hold this stock — 94% of the 3.0-year high of 216 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding ARVN is almost the same as a year ago (-7 funds, -3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

96 buying104 selling
Last quarter: 104 funds reduced or exited vs 96 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~34 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 53 → 33 → 32 → 34. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 55% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 23% new
112 out of 203 hedge funds have held ARVN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

54 → 53 → 33 → 32 → 34 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 53 → 33 → 32 → 34. ARVN is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 60% veterans vs 30% newcomers

■ 60% veterans ■ 11% 1-2yr ■ 30% new
Entry-cohort mix of 209 holders: 125 (60%) are 2+ year veterans, 22 entered 1–2 years ago, and 62 (30%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 29% AUM from major funds

29% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 203 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 29% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ARVN

In 2026 Q1, 96 hedge funds were net buyers of ARVN (34 opened a new position, 62 added to an existing one), while 104 reduced or exited (71 trimmed, 33 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 29% of total institutional value in ARVN is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +1 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 203.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARVN

How many hedge funds hold ARVN — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARVN vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARVN

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARVN

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Arvinas Inc (ARVN) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ARVN has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
ARVN
-27.6%
XLV
+2.8%

ARVN outperformed XLV by -30.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
ARVN
-15.5%
XLV
+3.9%

Since the filing became public, ARVN outperformed XLV by -19.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

23 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
6.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ARVN
202 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ARVN. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 202 202 -
13F Shares 55M 56M -2.62%
Total Value $562M $667M -15.72%
New Positions 33 32 +1
Increased Positions 60 68 -8
Closed Positions 33 43 -10
Reduced Positions 70 71 -1
Total Calls 3 4 -25.0%
Total Puts 3 4 -25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: ARVN

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

202 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ARVN. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ARVN holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Pfizer Inc 14.63% 3,457,815 $34.9M
2 Brummer Multi-Strategy AB 12.58% 285,076 $3.0M
3 Superstring Capital Management LP 2.37% 312,620 $3.3M
4 Rangeley Capital, LLC 2.31% 223,990 $2.4M
5 TCG Crossover Management, LLC 0.72% 2,387,461 $25.3M
6 Nextech Invest, Ltd. 0.40% 539,394 $5.7M
7 Armistice Capital, LLC 0.37% 1,978,000 $21.0M
8 Ikarian Capital, LLC 0.31% 358,257 $3.8M
9 Tang Capital Management LLC 0.29% 538,658 $5.7M
10 Vestal Point Capital, LP 0.27% 905,465 $9.6M
11 Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group 0.23% 57,500 $610K
12 Platinum Investment Management Ltd 0.19% 72,527 $769K
13 AlphaCentric Advisors LLC 0.14% 13,150 $139K
14 Kennedy Capital Management LLC 0.12% 552,641 $5.9M
15 VARCOV Co. 0.12% 30,591 $324K
16 Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 0.12% 300,000 $3.2M
17 Stonepine Capital Management, LLC 0.12% 27,500 $292K
18 Yelin Lapidot Holdings Management Ltd. 0.10% 46,665 $495K
19 Globeflex Capital L P 0.10% 59,331 $629K
20 Quantedge Capital Pte Ltd 0.09% 15,600 $165K
21 Headlands Technologies LLC 0.09% 73,043 $774K
22 Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc 0.06% 1,441,521 $15.3M
23 Virtus Investment Advisers, LLC 0.06% 21,676 $230K
24 Caxton Associates LLP 0.06% 260,016 $2.8M
25 Tema Etfs LLC 0.06% 83,581 $886K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Arvinas Inc (ARVN)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ARVN?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ARVN than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ARVN?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 104 funds reduced or exited vs 96 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ARVN holders?

Strong quality — 29% AUM from major funds: 45 of 203 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 29% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held ARVN?

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 112 out of 203 hedge funds have held ARVN for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Arvinas Inc (ARVN) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ARVN has moved -15.5% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +3.9% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of -19.4%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ARVN has gained -27.6% vs +2.8% for XLV. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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