Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC (ARR)

218 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ARR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +16
Streak
7Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — ARR

Based on 210 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 7 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 7 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
210 hedge funds hold ARR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +26% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+43 new funds entered over the past year (+26% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

124 buying87 selling
Last quarter: 124 funds bought or added vs 87 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~45 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 31 → 46 → 45. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

54% conviction (2yr+) 23% medium 22% new
114 out of 210 hedge funds have held ARR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+14% value, -3% shares)

Value
+14%
Shares
-3%
Last quarter: total value of institutional ARR holdings rose +14% even though funds reduced share count by 3%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

31 → 34 → 31 → 46 → 45 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 31 → 46 → 45. A growing number of institutions are discovering ARR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 62% of holders stayed 2+ years

62% veterans 14% 1-2yr 24% new
Of 218 current holders: 135 (62%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
29 of 210 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ARR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARR

How many hedge funds hold ARR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARR vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARR

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

45 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
7.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ARR
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 17 days 218 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ARR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 218 209 4.31%
13F Shares 64M 67M -3.41%
Total Value $1.14B $993M 14.33%
New Positions 45 49 -4
Increased Positions 91 123 -32
Closed Positions 32 33 -1
Reduced Positions 74 43 +31
Total Calls 7 10 -30.0%
Total Puts 5 7 -28.57%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.71 0.7 Neutral

Statistics: ARR

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

218 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ARR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of ARR — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 GraniteShares Advisors LLC 1.66% 138,275 $2.3M
2 Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC 1.17% 355,000 $5.9M
3 AlphaQuest LLC 0.11% 109,730 $1.9M
4 Parisi Gray Wealth Management 0.11% 26,453 $441K
5 Global Assets Advisory, LLC 0.09% 18,315 $305K
6 Simplicity Wealth,LLC 0.08% 82,674 $1.4M
7 SeaCrest Wealth Management, LLC 0.03% 18,112 $302K
8 KERR FINANCIAL PLANNING Corp 0.02% 821 $14K
9 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.01% 49,600
10 Simplify Asset Management Inc. 0.01% 53,900 $899K
11 PRAXIS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 0.01% 10,482
12 State of Alaska, Department of Revenue 0.01% 55,646
13 Lodestone Wealth Management LLC 0.01% 1,163 $19K
14 Sterling Capital Management LLC 0.01% 23,632 $394K
15 YOUSIF CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.01% 29,675 $495K
16 OREGON PUBLIC EMPLOYEES RETIREMENT FUND 0.01% 25,590 $427K
17 KESTRA PRIVATE WEALTH SERVICES, LLC 0.01% 26,642 $444K
18 Police & Firemen's Retirement System of New Jersey 0.00% 30,962 $516K
19 World Investment Advisors 0.00% 11,216 $187K
20 Arizona State Retirement System 0.00% 30,753 $513K
21 Red Tortoise LLC 0.00% 390 $7K
22 NISA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC 0.00% 40,920 $683K
23 Atlantic Edge Private Wealth Management, LLC 0.00% 600 $10K
24 Spire Wealth Management 0.00% 4,221 $70K
25 THRIVENT FINANCIAL FOR LUTHERANS 0.00% 74,689 $1K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC (ARR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ARR?

Buying streak — 7 quarters in a row: For 7 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ARR?

Slight buying edge — 59% buying: Last quarter: 124 funds bought or added vs 87 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ARR holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 29 of 210 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ARR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ARR?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 114 out of 210 hedge funds have held ARR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.