Stock Analysis

ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT INC (ARR)

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +15
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
59%

Smart Money Signals — ARR

Based on 182 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added this stock than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term trade.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
182 hedge funds hold this stock right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a 'crowded trade' — high ownership doesn't mean safe.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +27% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+39 new funds entered over the past year (+27% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 59% buying

108 buying76 selling
Last quarter: 108 funds bought or added vs 76 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~40 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 31 → 27 → 39 → 40. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

54% conviction (2yr+) 24% medium 22% new
99 out of 182 hedge funds have held this stock for over 2 years without selling. Long-term holders are harder to shake out during market dips — they represent a stable ownership base that reduces the risk of sudden mass selling.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+14% value, -4% shares)

Value
+13%
Shares
-4%
Last quarter: total value of institutional ARR holdings rose +14% even though funds reduced share count by 4%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

24 → 31 → 27 → 39 → 40 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 31 → 27 → 39 → 40. A growing number of institutions are discovering this stock each quarter. The idea is still spreading — there is room for more buyers to enter.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 63% of holders stayed 2+ years

63% veterans 15% 1-2yr 22% new
Of 190 current holders: 119 (63%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 14% top-100 AUM

14% from top-100 AUM funds
Only 25 of 182 current holders rank in the top 100 by AUM. The stock is held mostly by smaller and mid-sized funds — the largest institutional players haven't yet built significant positions.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARR

How many hedge funds hold ARR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARR vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARR

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Analyst Price Targets

-- Low
-- High
-- Average
-- Current

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARR

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Hedge Fund Positioning: ARR
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Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change

Statistics: ARR

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Institutional Holders (2025 Q4)
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Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy
Price
13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed