Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Armour Residential REIT Inc (ARR)

220 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ARR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +2
Streak
8Q ▲
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — ARR

Based on 221 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 8 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 8 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
221 hedge funds hold ARR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+31 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

109 buying106 selling
Last quarter: 109 funds bought or added vs 106 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-10 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 34 → 48 → 46 → 36. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 57% conviction (2yr+) ■ 23% medium ■ 21% new
125 out of 221 hedge funds have held ARR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~36 new funds/quarter

35 → 34 → 48 → 46 → 36 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 48 → 46 → 36. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 65% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 65% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 229 holders: 149 (65%) are 2+ year veterans, 24 entered 1–2 years ago, and 56 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
39 of 219 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ARR

In 2026 Q1, 109 hedge funds were net buyers of ARR (36 opened a new position, 73 added to an existing one), while 106 reduced or exited (72 trimmed, 34 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 8 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 35% of total institutional value in ARR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +2 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 221.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARR

How many hedge funds hold ARR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARR vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Armour Residential REIT Inc (ARR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ARR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLRE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
ARR
+0.0%
XLRE
+7.7%

ARR outperformed XLRE by -7.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
ARR
-1.8%
XLRE
+1.7%

Since the filing became public, ARR outperformed XLRE by -3.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

25 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
6.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ARR
220 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ARR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 220 219 0.46%
13F Shares 66M 65M 2.55%
Total Value $1.08B $1.14B -5.35%
New Positions 35 46 -11
Increased Positions 71 79 -8
Closed Positions 34 33 +1
Reduced Positions 69 59 +10
Total Calls 6 7 -14.29%
Total Puts 4 5 -20.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 0.71 Bullish

Statistics: ARR

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

220 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ARR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ARR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Penn Mutual Asset Management 14.87% 174,050 $2.9M
2 GraniteShares Advisors LLC 1.66% 138,275 $2.3M
3 Ascentis Wealth Management, LLC 1.17% 355,000 $5.9M
4 Strait & Sound Wealth Management LLC 0.46% 73,352 $1.2M
5 Virtus Advisers, LLC 0.25% 32,000 $534K
6 Susquehanna Fundamental Investments, LLC 0.18% 284,979 $4.8M
7 Advisors Asset Management, Inc. 0.16% 588,768 $9.8M
8 Jupiter Asset Management Ltd 0.11% 1,231,954 $20.5M
9 AlphaQuest LLC 0.11% 109,730 $1.9M
10 Parisi Gray Wealth Management 0.11% 26,453 $441K
11 Inceptionr LLC 0.10% 25,384 $423K
12 Global Assets Advisory, LLC 0.09% 18,315 $305K
13 Wolverine Asset Management LLC 0.08% 520,545 $8.7M
14 Simplicity Wealth,LLC 0.08% 82,674 $1.4M
15 Bramshill Investments, LLC 0.06% 42,873 $715K
16 Nebula Research & Development LLC 0.06% 39,093 $657K
17 Verition Fund Management LLC 0.05% 437,184 $7.3M
18 Independent Financial Group, LLC 0.04% 87,425 $1.5M
19 State of Wyoming 0.04% 21,103 $352K
20 Susquehanna Portfolio Strategies, LLC 0.04% 159,464 $2.7M
21 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 0.04% 1,577,994 $26.3M
22 SeaCrest Wealth Management, LLC 0.03% 18,112 $302K
23 Ameriflex Group, INC. 0.03% 3,700 $62K
24 Voloridge Investment Management, LLC 0.03% 465,357 $7.8M
25 Laurion Capital Management LP 0.03% 37,235 $621K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Armour Residential REIT Inc (ARR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ARR?

Buying streak — 8 quarters in a row: For 8 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ARR?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 109 funds bought or added vs 106 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ARR holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 39 of 219 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held ARR?

57% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 125 out of 221 hedge funds have held ARR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Armour Residential REIT Inc (ARR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ARR has moved -1.8% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +1.7% for the XLRE sector ETF — an outperformance of -3.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ARR has gained +0.0% vs +7.7% for XLRE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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