Based on 69 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 4 quarters in a row
For 4 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ARDC than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
69 hedge funds hold ARDC right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +47% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+22 new funds entered over the past year (+47% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡
Slight buying edge — 51% buying
34 buying33 selling
Last quarter: 34 funds bought or added vs 33 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~12 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 11 → 11 → 14 → 12. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
48% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 48% conviction (2yr+)
■ 29% medium
■ 23% new
33 out of 69 hedge funds have held ARDC for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈
Growing discovery — still being found
5 → 11 → 11 → 14 → 12 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 11 → 11 → 14 → 12. A growing number of institutions are discovering ARDC each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 55% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 55% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 33% new
Of 69 current holders: 38 (55%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds
34% from top-100 AUM funds
10 of 69 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.2
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.2/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.