Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Arcos Dorados Hldgs Inc (ARCO)

176 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ARCO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +17
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
57%

Smart Money Signals — ARCO

Based on 177 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ARCO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
177 hedge funds hold ARCO right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +16% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+25 new funds entered over the past year (+16% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction. The peak was reached in just 3 quarters from the low — a sharp move.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 57% buying

94 buying70 selling
Last quarter: 94 funds bought or added vs 70 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+10 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ARCO position: 34 → 28 → 29 → 39. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 56% conviction (2yr+) ■ 27% medium ■ 16% new
100 out of 177 hedge funds have held ARCO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~39 new funds/quarter

23 → 34 → 28 → 29 → 39 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 34 → 28 → 29 → 39. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 19% newcomers

■ 67% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 19% new
Entry-cohort mix of 180 holders: 121 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 25 entered 1–2 years ago, and 34 (19%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
📋

Smaller funds dominant — 19% AUM from top-100

19% from top-100 AUM funds
30 of 176 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 19% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ARCO

In 2026 Q2, 94 hedge funds were net buyers of ARCO (39 opened a new position, 55 added to an existing one), while 70 reduced or exited (48 trimmed, 22 sold completely) — a 57% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net fund flow last quarter: +17 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 177.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ARCO

How many hedge funds hold ARCO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ARCO vs. share price

Market Analysis: ARCO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ARCO

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ARCO
176 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ARCO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 176 160 10.0%
13F Shares 96M 92M 4.74%
Total Value $763M $731M 4.3%
New Positions 39 29 +10
Increased Positions 54 48 +6
Closed Positions 22 32 -10
Reduced Positions 47 46 +1
Total Calls 2 2 -
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: ARCO

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

176 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ARCO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ARCO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Moerus Capital Management LLC 15.36% 4,275,279 $34.5M
2 SPX Gestao de Recursos Ltda 4.04% 4,501,327 $36.3M
3 Fundamenta Capital S.A. 3.60% 769,415 $6.2M
4 West Tower Group, LLC 2.49% 109,859 $885K
5 Hedges Asset Management LLC 1.85% 349,800 $2.8M
6 PharVision Advisers, LLC 1.64% 10,765 $87K
7 INCA Investments LLC 1.49% 654,392 $5.3M
8 Managed Asset Portfolios, LLC 1.43% 1,554,885 $12.5M
9 O'Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc. 1.12% 676,719 $5.5M
10 Globeflex Capital L P 0.84% 815,609 $6.6M
11 Seafarer Capital Partners, LLC 0.74% 400,000 $3.2M
12 Inlet Private Wealth, LLC 0.74% 377,888 $3.0M
13 Private Management Group Inc 0.70% 3,318,093 $26.7M
14 American Capital Advisory, LLC 0.54% 185,375 $1.5M
15 Auxier Asset Management LLC 0.45% 419,059 $3.4M
16 General American Investors Co Inc 0.41% 860,178 $6.9M
17 Mirabella Financial Services LLP 0.31% 398,612 $3.2M
18 Lazard Asset Management LLC 0.30% 24,687,429 $199.0M
19 VELA Investment Management, LLC 0.29% 167,400 $1.3M
20 Olympiad Research LP 0.27% 16,075 $130K
21 Pzena Investment Management LLC 0.26% 10,804,358 $87.1M
22 Acorn Financial Advisory Services Inc /Adv 0.22% 205,753 $1.7M
23 MQS Management LLC 0.21% 21,504 $173K
24 Hussman Strategic Advisors, INC. 0.19% 105,000 $846K
25 nVerses Capital, LLC 0.18% 14,792 $119K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Arcos Dorados Hldgs Inc (ARCO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ARCO?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ARCO than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ARCO?

Slight buying edge — 57% buying: Last quarter: 94 funds bought or added vs 70 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ARCO holders?

Smaller funds dominant — 19% AUM from top-100: 30 of 176 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 19% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.

How long have hedge funds held ARCO?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 100 out of 177 hedge funds have held ARCO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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