Based on 245 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ARCB positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 83% of 3.0Y peak
83% of all-time peak
245 funds currently hold this stock — 83% of the 3.0-year high of 294 funds (reached 2024 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️
Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year
fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding ARCB is almost the same as a year ago (-8 funds, -3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
126 buying141 selling
Last quarter: 141 funds reduced or exited vs 126 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~47 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 44 → 46 → 45 → 47. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
63% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 63% conviction (2yr+)
■ 18% medium
■ 20% new
154 out of 245 hedge funds have held ARCB for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~47 new funds/quarter
29 → 44 → 46 → 45 → 47 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 44 → 46 → 45 → 47. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 66% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 66% veterans
■ 13% 1-2yr
■ 21% new
Of 249 current holders: 164 (66%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆
Elite ownership — 58% AUM from top-100 funds
58% from top-100 AUM funds
39 of 245 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 58% of total institutional value in ARCB. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.