Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Antero Resources Corp (AR)

631 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +45
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
58%

Smart Money Signals — AR

Based on 633 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
633 hedge funds hold AR right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +14% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+80 new funds entered over the past year (+14% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 58% buying

388 buying276 selling
Last quarter: 388 funds bought or added vs 276 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+27 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AR position: 83 → 85 → 109 → 136. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

53% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 53% conviction (2yr+) ■ 25% medium ■ 22% new
334 out of 633 hedge funds have held AR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +21% but shares only +1% — price-driven

Value
+21%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +21%, but actual share count only changed +1%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

133 → 83 → 85 → 109 → 136 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 83 → 85 → 109 → 136. A growing number of institutions are discovering AR each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 27% newcomers

■ 61% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 27% new
Entry-cohort mix of 675 holders: 415 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 81 entered 1–2 years ago, and 179 (27%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
54 of 629 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in AR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AR

In 2026 Q1, 388 hedge funds were net buyers of AR (136 opened a new position, 252 added to an existing one), while 276 reduced or exited (185 trimmed, 91 sold completely) — a 58% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 44% of total institutional value in AR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +45 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 633.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AR

How many hedge funds hold AR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AR vs. share price

Market Analysis: AR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Antero Resources Corp (AR) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AR has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLE) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
AR
-17.9%
XLE
-6.1%

AR outperformed XLE by -11.8% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
AR
-8.9%
XLE
-3.2%

Since the filing became public, AR outperformed XLE by -5.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

50 top-rated funds 26 high-conviction
Consensus
7.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
8.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AR
631 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 631 588 7.31%
13F Shares 279M 277M 0.98%
Total Value $11.58B $9.54B 21.31%
New Positions 135 109 +26
Increased Positions 238 205 +33
Closed Positions 92 77 +15
Reduced Positions 175 185 -10
Total Calls 23 34 -32.35%
Total Puts 23 27 -14.81%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.79 Neutral

Statistics: AR

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

631 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Crystal Cove Asset Management, LLC 28.53% 559,555 $23.7M
2 Palo Duro Investment Partners, LP 17.44% 2,115,112 $89.8M
3 Sourcerock Group LLC 14.22% 8,305,886 $352.5M
4 Kore Advisors LP 10.46% 228,907 $9.7M
5 Corigliano Investment Advisers, LLC 10.24% 617,800 $26.2M
6 Oceanic Investment Management LTD 8.73% 242,700 $10.3M
7 SailingStone Capital Partners LLC 8.14% 844,266 $35.8M
8 Bornite Capital Management LP 7.42% 1,040,000 $44.1M
9 Webs Creek Capital Management LP 6.66% 906,328 $38.5M
10 Colrain Capital LLC 6.64% 404,980 $17.2M
11 IES Holdings, Inc. 6.45% 325,000 $13.8M
12 Fearnley Asset Management As 6.06% 437,327 $18.6M
13 Pennant Investors, LP 5.64% 480,000 $20.4M
14 SIR Capital Management, L.P. 4.93% 1,244,157 $52.8M
15 Greenfield Seitz Capital Management, LLC 4.69% 366,535 $15.6M
16 Pennant Select, LLC 4.55% 213,269 $9.1M
17 Gemsstock Ltd. 4.44% 992,354 $42.1M
18 Hiddenite Capital Partners LP 3.91% 351,100 $14.9M
19 Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, LLC 3.69% 1,617,138 $68.6M
20 Hiddenite Capital Partners LP 3.62% 325,000 $13.8M
21 Plustick Management LLC 3.59% 175,000 $7.4M
22 Nokomis Capital, L.L.C. 3.38% 277,302 $11.8M
23 RR Advisors, LLC 3.29% 279,750 $11.9M
24 Brooklands Fund Management Ltd 3.22% 67,511 $2.9M
25 Old West Investment Management, LLC 2.98% 648,322 $27.5M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Antero Resources Corp (AR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AR?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AR than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AR?

Slight buying edge — 58% buying: Last quarter: 388 funds bought or added vs 276 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AR holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 54 of 629 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in AR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AR?

53% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 334 out of 633 hedge funds have held AR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Antero Resources Corp (AR) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AR has moved -8.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -3.2% for the XLE sector ETF — an outperformance of -5.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AR has gained -17.9% vs -6.1% for XLE. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →