Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

AMERISAFE INC (AMSF)

180 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AMSF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -2
Streak
2Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — AMSF

Based on 179 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AMSF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
179 hedge funds hold AMSF right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding AMSF is almost the same as a year ago (+6 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

92 buying103 selling
Last quarter: 103 funds reduced or exited vs 92 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~31 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 26 → 26 → 26 → 31. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

69% conviction (2yr+) 15% medium 16% new
123 out of 179 hedge funds have held AMSF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +89%, value -12%

Value
-11%
Shares
+88%
Last quarter: funds added +89% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -12%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~31 new funds/quarter

25 → 26 → 26 → 26 → 31 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 26 → 26 → 26 → 31. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 74% of holders stayed 2+ years

74% veterans 8% 1-2yr 18% new
Of 180 current holders: 134 (74%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.

Strong quality — 38% AUM from major funds

38% from top-100 AUM funds
33 of 179 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 38% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AMSF

How many hedge funds hold AMSF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AMSF vs. share price

Market Analysis: AMSF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AMSF

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

40 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
7.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AMSF
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 21 days 180 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AMSF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 180 181 -0.55%
13F Shares 34M 18M 88.63%
Total Value $677M $769M -11.94%
New Positions 31 26 +5
Increased Positions 61 75 -14
Closed Positions 33 29 +4
Reduced Positions 71 59 +12
Total Calls 1 0 100%
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: AMSF

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

180 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AMSF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of AMSF — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 R Squared Ltd 0.55% 29,859 $995K
2 Auto-Owners Insurance Co 0.30% 426,900 $14.2M
3 HARBOR CAPITAL ADVISORS, INC. 0.20% 75,587 $3K
4 Values First Advisors, Inc. 0.12% 6,769 $226K
5 Harbor Asset Planning, Inc. 0.06% 2,089 $70K
6 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.04% 15,386 $513K
7 Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd 0.03% 53,787 $1.8M
8 EXCHANGE TRADED CONCEPTS, LLC 0.01% 63,006 $2.1M
9 ProShare Advisors LLC 0.01% 183,336 $6.1M
10 Diversified Trust Co 0.01% 10,693 $356K
11 Financial Management Professionals, Inc. 0.01% 1,358 $45K
12 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.00% 8,400
13 State of Alaska, Department of Revenue 0.00% 10,317
14 GAMMA Investing LLC 0.00% 2,188 $73K
15 WEALTH ENHANCEMENT ADVISORY SERVICES, LLC 0.00% 13,116 $432K
16 SIGNATUREFD, LLC 0.00% 1,566 $52K
17 Spire Wealth Management 0.00% 700 $23K
18 NEW YORK STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM 0.00% 8,642
19 Versant Capital Management, Inc 0.00% 147 $5K
20 SG Americas Securities, LLC 0.00% 10,621
21 COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC 0.00% 7,195 $240K
22 MassMutual Private Wealth & Trust, FSB 0.00% 284 $9K
23 Sterling Capital Management LLC 0.00% 365 $12K
24 Fortitude Family Office, LLC 0.00% 23
25 Farther Finance Advisors, LLC 0.00% 550 $18K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — AMERISAFE INC (AMSF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AMSF?

Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AMSF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AMSF?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 103 funds reduced or exited vs 92 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AMSF holders?

Strong quality — 38% AUM from major funds: 33 of 179 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 38% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AMSF?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 123 out of 179 hedge funds have held AMSF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.