Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Amerisafe Inc (AMSF)

179 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AMSF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -8
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
53%

Smart Money Signals — AMSF

Based on 180 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AMSF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
180 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 195 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 6% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
12 fewer hedge funds hold AMSF compared to a year ago (-6% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 53% buying

100 buying90 selling
Last quarter: 100 funds bought or added vs 90 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~29 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 27 → 26 → 31 → 29. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 69% conviction (2yr+) ■ 14% medium ■ 16% new
125 out of 180 hedge funds have held AMSF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (-12% value, -47% shares)

Value
-12%
Shares
-46%
Last quarter: total value of institutional AMSF holdings rose -12% even though funds reduced share count by 47%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

27 → 27 → 26 → 31 → 29 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 27 → 26 → 31 → 29. A growing number of institutions are discovering AMSF each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 73% veterans vs 17% newcomers

■ 73% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 17% new
Entry-cohort mix of 180 holders: 131 (73%) are 2+ year veterans, 18 entered 1–2 years ago, and 31 (17%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds

44% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 180 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in AMSF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.0
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AMSF

In 2026 Q1, 100 hedge funds were net buyers of AMSF (29 opened a new position, 71 added to an existing one), while 90 reduced or exited (53 trimmed, 37 sold completely) — a 53% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 44% of total institutional value in AMSF is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -8 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 180.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AMSF

How many hedge funds hold AMSF — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AMSF vs. share price

Market Analysis: AMSF

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AMSF

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AMSF has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 76d ago
AMSF
-5.4%
XLF
+8.0%

AMSF outperformed XLF by -13.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 31d ago
AMSF
+3.0%
XLF
+4.4%

Since the filing became public, AMSF outperformed XLF by -1.4% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

20 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AMSF
179 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AMSF. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 179 188 -4.79%
13F Shares 18M 34M -46.65%
Total Value $604M $687M -12.11%
New Positions 28 31 -3
Increased Positions 71 66 +5
Closed Positions 37 35 +2
Reduced Positions 53 73 -20
Total Calls 0 1 -100.0%
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: AMSF

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
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Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

179 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AMSF. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AMSF holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 R Squared Ltd 0.55% 29,859 $995K
2 S&T Bank/Pa 0.48% 38,523 $1.3M
3 Isthmus Partners, LLC 0.31% 89,345 $3.0M
4 Auto-Owners Insurance Co 0.30% 426,900 $14.2M
5 Granite Investment Partners, LLC 0.26% 126,207 $4.2M
6 Palisade Capital Management, LP 0.23% 206,343 $6.9M
7 Royce & Associates LP 0.21% 642,466 $21.4M
8 New South Capital Management Inc 0.20% 123,643 $4.1M
9 Champlain Investment Partners, LLC 0.16% 377,823 $12.6M
10 Diametric Capital, LP 0.12% 14,019 $467K
11 Values First Advisors, Inc. 0.12% 6,769 $226K
12 Numerai GP LLC 0.11% 32,440 $1.1M
13 Aigen Investment Management, LP 0.09% 11,080 $369K
14 Nebula Research & Development LLC 0.08% 22,540 $986K
15 Dana Investment Advisors, Inc. 0.08% 80,407 $2.7M
16 Harbor Asset Planning, Inc. 0.06% 2,089 $70K
17 Dynamic Technology Lab Private Ltd 0.05% 9,703 $323K
18 AlphaQuest LLC 0.05% 23,387 $898K
19 Neuberger Berman Group LLC 0.04% 1,733,673 $57.8M
20 Inspire Investing, LLC 0.04% 15,386 $513K
21 M&G Plc 0.04% 225,786 $7.5M
22 Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC 0.04% 19,200 $640K
23 Y-Intercept (Hong Kong) Ltd 0.03% 53,787 $1.8M
24 Brooklyn Investment Group 0.03% 29,120 $971K
25 Teacher Retirement System of Texas 0.03% 181,800 $6.1M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Amerisafe Inc (AMSF)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AMSF?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AMSF positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AMSF?

Slight buying edge — 53% buying: Last quarter: 100 funds bought or added vs 90 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AMSF holders?

Elite ownership — 44% AUM from top-100 funds: 45 of 180 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 44% of total institutional value in AMSF. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AMSF?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 125 out of 180 hedge funds have held AMSF for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AMSF has moved +3.0% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.4% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.4%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AMSF has gained -5.4% vs +8.0% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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