Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Ardagh Metal Packaging S A (AMBP)

213 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AMBP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +16
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — AMBP

Based on 216 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AMBP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
216 hedge funds hold AMBP right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +24% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+42 new funds entered over the past year (+24% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

111 buying95 selling
Last quarter: 111 funds bought or added vs 95 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AMBP position: 46 → 40 → 30 → 45. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 50% conviction (2yr+) ■ 25% medium ■ 25% new
108 out of 216 hedge funds have held AMBP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~45 new funds/quarter

23 → 46 → 40 → 30 → 45 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 40 → 30 → 45. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 60% veterans vs 27% newcomers

■ 60% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 27% new
Entry-cohort mix of 221 holders: 132 (60%) are 2+ year veterans, 30 entered 1–2 years ago, and 59 (27%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds

27% from top-100 AUM funds
41 of 216 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AMBP

In 2026 Q1, 111 hedge funds were net buyers of AMBP (45 opened a new position, 66 added to an existing one), while 95 reduced or exited (66 trimmed, 29 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 27% of total institutional value in AMBP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +16 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 216.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AMBP

How many hedge funds hold AMBP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AMBP vs. share price

Market Analysis: AMBP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AMBP

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Ardagh Metal Packaging S A (AMBP) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AMBP has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 80d ago
AMBP
nan%
XLY
nan%

AMBP outperformed XLY by nan% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 35d ago
AMBP
nan%
XLY
nan%

Since the filing became public, AMBP outperformed XLY by nan% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

22 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AMBP
213 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AMBP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 213 200 6.5%
13F Shares 123M 125M -1.58%
Total Value $493M $511M -3.47%
New Positions 43 30 +13
Increased Positions 65 59 +6
Closed Positions 30 34 -4
Reduced Positions 64 81 -17
Total Calls 3 2 50.0%
Total Puts 2 1 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 0.5 Bullish

Statistics: AMBP

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

213 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AMBP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AMBP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Platinum Equity, LLC 66.52% 5,311,164 $21.5M
2 Arini Captial Management Ltd 7.19% 11,246,170 $45.5M
3 Canyon Capital Advisors LLC 6.04% 11,523,328 $46.7M
4 Mountaineer Partners Management, LLC 3.78% 1,878,082 $7.6M
5 Diameter Capital Partners LP 1.69% 4,467,420 $18.1M
6 Gilman Hill Asset Management, LLC 1.22% 1,994,269 $8.1M
7 Monarch Alternative Capital LP 0.73% 2,955,738 $12.0M
8 Private Management Group Inc 0.59% 5,017,236 $20.3M
9 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 0.53% 4,000,000 $16.2M
10 Contrarian Capital Management, L.L.C. 0.47% 413,706 $1.7M
11 Weiss Asset Management LP 0.31% 4,516,338 $18.3M
12 Tred Avon Family Wealth, LLC 0.22% 163,541 $662K
13 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.14% 194,594 $788K
14 Redhawk Wealth Advisors, Inc. 0.10% 228,309 $925K
15 Virtus Advisers, LLC 0.10% 52,372 $212K
16 Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. 0.10% 869,063 $3.5M
17 Hyperion Capital Advisors LP 0.09% 45,000 $182K
18 Measured Wealth Private Client Group, LLC 0.09% 77,968 $316K
19 IQ EQ FUND MANAGEMENT (IRELAND) Ltd 0.08% 275,126 $1.1M
20 CWA Asset Management Group, LLC 0.08% 614,566 $2.5M
21 Counterpoint Mutual Funds LLC 0.08% 136,732 $554K
22 Odyssean, LLC 0.08% 52,434 $212K
23 Martingale Asset Management L P 0.06% 558,688 $2.3M
24 Gamco Investors, INC. Et Al 0.06% 1,422,507 $5.8M
25 Legato Capital Management LLC 0.05% 147,030 $595K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Ardagh Metal Packaging S A (AMBP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AMBP?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AMBP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AMBP?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 111 funds bought or added vs 95 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AMBP holders?

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds: 41 of 216 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AMBP?

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 108 out of 216 hedge funds have held AMBP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Ardagh Metal Packaging S A (AMBP) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AMBP has moved nan% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to nan% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of nan%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AMBP has gained nan% vs nan% for XLY. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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