Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Alumis Inc (ALMS)

194 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ALMS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +62
Streak
8Q ▲
Buyers last Q
71%

Smart Money Signals — ALMS

Based on 195 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 8 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 8 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ALMS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
195 hedge funds hold ALMS right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +175% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+124 new funds entered over the past year (+175% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 71% buying

150 buying60 selling
Last quarter: 150 funds were net buyers (87 opened a brand new position + 63 added to an existing one). Only 60 were sellers (35 trimmed + 25 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+55 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ALMS position: 53 → 31 → 32 → 87. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 58% entered in last year

■ 4% conviction (2yr+) ■ 38% medium ■ 58% new
Only 8 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Value +173% but shares only +25% — price-driven

Value
+173%
Shares
+25%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +173%, but actual share count only changed +25%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

20 → 53 → 31 → 32 → 87 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 53 → 31 → 32 → 87. A growing number of institutions are discovering ALMS each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🌱

Early stage — 70% of holders entered in last year

■ 4% veterans ■ 27% 1-2yr ■ 70% new
Of 207 current holders: 144 (70%) entered in the past year, only 8 (4%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds

20% from top-100 AUM funds
43 of 192 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
5.6
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.6/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ALMS

In 2026 Q1, 150 hedge funds were net buyers of ALMS (87 opened a new position, 63 added to an existing one), while 60 reduced or exited (35 trimmed, 25 sold completely) — a 71% buyer ratio, indicating clear institutional accumulation. This marks 8 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 20% of total institutional value in ALMS is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +62 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 195.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ALMS

How many hedge funds hold ALMS — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ALMS vs. share price

Market Analysis: ALMS

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ALMS

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Alumis Inc (ALMS) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ALMS has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 83d ago
ALMS
+6.3%
XLV
+705.0%

ALMS outperformed XLV by -698.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 38d ago
ALMS
+2.4%
XLV
+691.9%

Since the filing became public, ALMS outperformed XLV by -689.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Growing Institutional Interest

Quality funds are building positions — conviction is rising but not yet widespread.

22 top-rated funds 9 high-conviction
Consensus
5.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.1
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ALMS
194 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ALMS. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 194 133 45.86%
13F Shares 100M 80M 25.4%
Total Value $2.12B $775M 173.47%
New Positions 86 32 +54
Increased Positions 62 47 +15
Closed Positions 25 26 -1
Reduced Positions 33 34 -1
Total Calls 9 3 200.0%
Total Puts 6 5 20.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.67 1.67 Bullish

Statistics: ALMS

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

194 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ALMS. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ALMS holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Foresite Capital Management V, LLC 47.94% 5,896,995 $129.9M
2 venBio Partners LLC 35.56% 4,528,408 $99.8M
3 Foresite Capital Management VI LLC 20.33% 4,247,670 $93.6M
4 Yu Fan 17.64% 776,845 $17.1M
5 Samsara BioCapital, LLC 13.58% 6,345,219 $139.8M
6 Saturn V Capital Management LP 12.77% 3,202,075 $70.5M
7 Octagon Capital Advisors LP 6.90% 2,830,700 $62.4M
8 Nextech Invest, Ltd. 5.49% 3,540,998 $78.0M
9 Sr One Capital Management, LP 4.72% 1,959,896 $43.2M
10 Cormorant Asset Management, LP 4.37% 3,949,241 $87.0M
11 Great Point Partners LLC 4.33% 856,061 $18.9M
12 MPM BioImpact LLC 4.06% 2,386,529 $52.6M
13 Omega Fund Management, LLC 3.26% 241,255 $5.3M
14 Exome Asset Management LLC 3.18% 279,176 $6.2M
15 Towerview LLC 3.16% 222,294 $4.9M
16 Act Capital Management, LLC 3.02% 174,250 $3.8M
17 Ally Bridge Group (NY) LLC 2.97% 166,959 $3.7M
18 Trium Capital LLP 2.97% 191,391 $4.2M
19 Deep Track Capital, LP 2.44% 6,772,595 $149.2M
20 Ikarian Capital, LLC 2.17% 1,213,548 $26.7M
21 Spruce Street Capital LP 2.08% 392,574 $8.6M
22 Opaleye Management Inc. 1.60% 550,000 $12.1M
23 Artia Global Partners LP 1.43% 325,046 $7.2M
24 Stempoint Capital LP 0.98% 229,566 $5.1M
25 Integral Health Asset Management, LLC 0.84% 800,000 $17.6M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Alumis Inc (ALMS)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ALMS?

Buying streak — 8 quarters in a row: For 8 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added ALMS than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ALMS?

More buyers than sellers — 71% buying: Last quarter: 150 funds were net buyers (87 opened a brand new position + 63 added to an existing one). Only 60 were sellers (35 trimmed + 25 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for ALMS holders?

Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds: 43 of 192 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held ALMS?

Mostly new holders — 58% entered in last year: Only 8 funds (4%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Is it too late to buy Alumis Inc (ALMS) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ALMS has moved +2.4% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +691.9% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of -689.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ALMS has gained +6.3% vs +705.0% for XLV. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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