Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Air Lease Corp (AL)

421 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -35
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — AL

Based on 426 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
426 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 461 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +10% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+39 new funds entered over the past year (+10% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

215 buying233 selling
Last quarter: 233 funds reduced or exited vs 215 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-33 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 83 → 101 → 90 → 57. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 56% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 26% new
237 out of 426 hedge funds have held AL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

60 → 83 → 101 → 90 → 57 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 83 → 101 → 90 → 57. AL is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 57% veterans vs 31% newcomers

■ 57% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 31% new
Entry-cohort mix of 432 holders: 248 (57%) are 2+ year veterans, 50 entered 1–2 years ago, and 134 (31%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 426 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AL

In 2026 Q1, 215 hedge funds were net buyers of AL (57 opened a new position, 158 added to an existing one), while 233 reduced or exited (141 trimmed, 92 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 35% of total institutional value in AL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -35 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 426.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AL

How many hedge funds hold AL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AL vs. share price

Market Analysis: AL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

28 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
3.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AL
421 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 421 461 -8.68%
13F Shares 108M 102M 6.29%
Total Value $6.53B $6.51B 0.3%
New Positions 54 90 -36
Increased Positions 157 133 +24
Closed Positions 94 79 +15
Reduced Positions 138 171 -33
Total Calls 2 5 -60.0%
Total Puts 4 2 100.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 2.0 0.4 Bearish

Statistics: AL

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

421 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 O'Connor Alternative Investments LLC 15.91% 2,860,079 $185.7M
2 Vazirani Asset Management LLC 14.97% 100,000 $6.5M
3 Cobalt Capital Management, INC. 10.89% 299,500 $19.4M
4 Alpine Associates Management INC. 5.29% 1,382,306 $89.8M
5 Nexpoint Asset Management, L.P. 5.09% 1,168,656 $75.9M
6 Kryger Capital LLC 4.03% 878,107 $57.0M
7 Hbk Investments L P 3.64% 5,527,242 $358.9M
8 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 3.33% 975,799 $63.4M
9 Gardner Lewis Asset Management L P 3.24% 230,505 $15.0M
10 Barton Investment Management 2.77% 340,033 $22.1M
11 Factorial Partners, LLC 2.21% 47,000 $3.1M
12 GABELLI & Co INVESTMENT ADVISERS, INC. 2.01% 208,556 $13.5M
13 Lakewood Capital Management, LP 1.99% 485,878 $31.6M
14 AQR Arbitrage LLC 1.79% 1,675,636 $108.8M
15 JCP Investment Management, LLC 1.73% 40,000 $2.6M
16 English Capital Management LLC 1.70% 44,746 $2.9M
17 TIG Advisors, LLC 1.36% 453,724 $29.5M
18 Kintayl Capital LP 1.32% 38,947 $2.5M
19 Kopernik Global Investors, LLC 1.26% 277,612 $18.0M
20 Villanova Investment Management Co LLC 1.21% 18,118 $1.2M
21 Arvin Capital Management LP 1.20% 151,059 $9.8M
22 Yakira Capital Management, Inc. 1.14% 59,805 $3.9M
23 Westchester Capital Management, LLC 0.98% 334,421 $21.7M
24 Credit Industriel Et Commercial 0.92% 182,350 $11.8M
25 Parkside Investments, LLC 0.90% 114,024 $7.4M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Air Lease Corp (AL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AL?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AL?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 233 funds reduced or exited vs 215 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AL holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 53 of 426 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AL?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 237 out of 426 hedge funds have held AL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →