Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Gallagher Arthur J & Co (AJG)

1K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AJG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -33
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — AJG

Based on 1252 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AJG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 92% of 3.0Y peak

92% of all-time peak
1,252 funds currently hold this stock — 92% of the 3.0-year high of 1,360 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 5% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
70 fewer hedge funds hold AJG compared to a year ago (-5% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

606 buying671 selling
Last quarter: 671 funds reduced or exited vs 606 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~165 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 154 → 118 → 167 → 165. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

65% conviction (2yr+) 17% medium 17% new
820 out of 1,252 hedge funds have held AJG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -10%, value -26%

Value
-26%
Shares
-9%
Last quarter: funds added -10% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -26%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

184 → 154 → 118 → 167 → 165 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 154 → 118 → 167 → 165. A growing number of institutions are discovering AJG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 22% newcomers

67% veterans 11% 1-2yr 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,275 holders: 855 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 144 entered 1–2 years ago, and 276 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds

51% from top-100 AUM funds
65 of 1242 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in AJG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.2
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.2/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AJG

In 2026 Q1, 606 hedge funds were net buyers of AJG (165 opened a new position, 441 added to an existing one), while 671 reduced or exited (473 trimmed, 198 sold completely) — a 47% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 51% of total institutional value in AJG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -33 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 1252.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AJG

How many hedge funds hold AJG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AJG vs. share price

Market Analysis: AJG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AJG

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Gallagher Arthur J & Co (AJG) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AJG has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
AJG
+1.0%
XLF
+8.0%

AJG outperformed XLF by -7.0% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
AJG
+9.7%
XLF
+4.4%

Since the filing became public, AJG outperformed XLF by +5.3% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

71 top-rated funds 11 high-conviction
Consensus
8.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AJG
1K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AJG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 1237 1285 -3.74%
13F Shares 210M 233M -9.94%
Total Value $44.47B $60.25B -26.18%
New Positions 157 167 -10
Increased Positions 426 391 +35
Closed Positions 205 197 +8
Reduced Positions 464 548 -84
Total Calls 17 18 -5.56%
Total Puts 15 16 -6.25%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.88 0.89 Neutral

Statistics: AJG

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Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

1K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AJG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AJG holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Gtcr LLC 13.60% 2,373,773 $514.1M
2 Newport Capital Group, LLC 6.77% 51,306 $11.1M
3 PhiloSmith Capital Corp 6.04% 97,725 $21.2M
4 Stonehage Fleming Financial Services Holdings Ltd 5.12% 650,099 $140.8M
5 Bls Capital Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S 4.77% 647,008 $140.1M
6 Beck Mack & Oliver LLC 4.75% 1,062,566 $230.1M
7 Lawson Kroeker Investment Management Inc/Ne 4.21% 66,734 $14.5M
8 Cincinnati Indemnity Co 3.70% 6,882 $1.5M
9 Bowie Capital Management, LLC 3.51% 438,928 $95.1M
10 Obion Capital Management LP 3.49% 16,359 $3.5M
11 Rench Wealth Management, Inc. 3.37% 51,772 $11.2M
12 Guinness Asset Management LTD 3.36% 901,899 $194.8M
13 Sandhill Capital Partners LLC 3.20% 172,035 $37.3M
14 New Vernon Investment Management LLC 3.11% 13,508 $2.9M
15 Ayrshire Capital Management LLC 3.03% 27,009 $5.8M
16 Mountain Pacific Investment Advisers LLC 2.80% 75,490 $16.3M
17 Fenimore Asset Management Inc 2.74% 566,766 $122.8M
18 NZS Capital, LLC 2.67% 368,965 $79.9M
19 North Point Portfolio Managers Corp/Oh 2.56% 66,482 $14.4M
20 Sovereign's Capital Management, LLC 2.55% 15,998 $3.5M
21 Chilton Investment Co INC. 2.49% 490,488 $106.2M
22 Central Securities Corp 2.41% 135,000 $29.2M
23 Cane Capital Partners, LLC 2.41% 25,470 $5.5M
24 Cornerstone Capital, Inc. 2.23% 103,213 $22.4M
25 Philadelphia Financial Management of San Francisco, LLC 2.07% 33,000 $7.1M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Gallagher Arthur J & Co (AJG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AJG?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AJG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AJG?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 671 funds reduced or exited vs 606 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AJG holders?

Elite ownership — 51% AUM from top-100 funds: 65 of 1242 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 51% of total institutional value in AJG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AJG?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 820 out of 1,252 hedge funds have held AJG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Gallagher Arthur J & Co (AJG) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AJG has moved +9.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.4% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +5.3%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AJG has gained +1.0% vs +8.0% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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