Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Argan Inc (AGX)

482 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AGX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +60
Streak
11Q ▲
Buyers last Q
54%

Smart Money Signals — AGX

Based on 484 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AGX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
484 hedge funds hold AGX right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +64% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+189 new funds entered over the past year (+64% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 54% buying

280 buying242 selling
Last quarter: 280 funds bought or added vs 242 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+41 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AGX position: 93 → 95 → 93 → 134. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
📌

Mixed — 31% long-term, 40% new

■ 31% conviction (2yr+) ■ 29% medium ■ 40% new
Of the 484 current holders: 151 (31%) held >2 years, 139 held 1–2 years, and 194 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.
💰

Value +72% but shares only +1% — price-driven

Value
+72%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +72%, but actual share count only changed +1%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

67 → 93 → 95 → 93 → 134 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 93 → 95 → 93 → 134. A growing number of institutions are discovering AGX each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
📊

Mixed cohorts — 39% veterans, 47% new entrants

■ 39% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 47% new
Of 501 current holders: 196 (39%) held 2+ years, 72 held 1–2 years, 233 (47%) entered in the past year. Balanced distribution — some institutional memory, some recent momentum buyers.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
53 of 484 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in AGX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
4.7
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.7/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AGX

In 2026 Q1, 280 hedge funds were net buyers of AGX (134 opened a new position, 146 added to an existing one), while 242 reduced or exited (168 trimmed, 74 sold completely) — a 54% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This marks 11 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 46% of total institutional value in AGX is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +60 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 484.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AGX

How many hedge funds hold AGX — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AGX vs. share price

Market Analysis: AGX

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AGX

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Argan Inc (AGX) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AGX has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 74d ago
AGX
+17.8%
XLI
-76.3%

AGX outperformed XLI by +94.1% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 29d ago
AGX
-11.2%
XLI
-6.5%

Since the filing became public, AGX outperformed XLI by -4.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

39 top-rated funds 10 high-conviction
Consensus
7.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AGX
482 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AGX. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 482 424 13.68%
13F Shares 13M 13M 1.31%
Total Value $7.09B $4.11B 72.44%
New Positions 132 93 +39
Increased Positions 145 118 +27
Closed Positions 74 51 +23
Reduced Positions 162 167 -5
Total Calls 10 10 -
Total Puts 11 9 22.22%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.1 0.9 Neutral

Statistics: AGX

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Total Cash (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

482 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AGX. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AGX holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 AltraVue Capital, LLC 5.24% 111,802 $60.9M
2 Thames Capital Management LLC 3.56% 36,458 $19.9M
3 Abacus FCF Advisors LLC 3.04% 24,773 $13.5M
4 Maverick Capital Ltd 2.92% 464,759 $253.1M
5 Forest Avenue Capital Management LP 2.41% 74,456 $40.6M
6 Gunderson Capital Management LLC 2.12% 9,326 $5.1M
7 Ranger Investment Management, L.P. 2.11% 53,592 $29.2M
8 Eddie Patel Inc 2.11% 5,040 $2.7M
9 Kinetic Partners Management, LP 1.89% 62,000 $33.8M
10 Valiant Capital Management, L.P. 1.85% 59,243 $32.3M
11 Elevation Advisory Partners LLC 1.78% 5,265 $1.9M
12 Quantum Portfolio Management LLC 1.77% 7,466 $4.1M
13 Lone Pine Capital LLC 1.71% 393,134 $214.1M
14 Navellier & Associates Inc 1.70% 29,883 $16.3M
15 Bearing Point Capital, LLC 1.69% 19,805 $10.8M
16 Shaker Investments LLC/Oh 1.67% 6,732 $3.7M
17 Emerald Advisers, LLC 1.64% 95,272 $51.9M
18 Legato Capital Management LLC 1.64% 33,117 $18.0M
19 Aperture Investors, LLC 1.59% 23,068 $12.6M
20 Norris Financial Group, LLC 1.58% 8,904 $4.8M
21 Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust 1.56% 58,943 $32.1M
22 HWG Holdings LP 1.48% 10,477 $5.7M
23 Lisanti Capital Growth, LLC 1.43% 10,405 $5.7M
24 Essex Investment Management Co LLC 1.39% 16,098 $8.8M
25 Cvfg LLC 1.36% 20,151 $11.0M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Argan Inc (AGX)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AGX?

Buying streak — 11 quarters in a row: For 11 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AGX than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AGX?

Slight buying edge — 54% buying: Last quarter: 280 funds bought or added vs 242 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AGX holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 53 of 484 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in AGX. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AGX?

Mixed — 31% long-term, 40% new: Of the 484 current holders: 151 (31%) held >2 years, 139 held 1–2 years, and 194 entered in the last year. A mixed base — the stock has long-term believers but also recent buyers who haven't been tested by a downturn yet.

Is it too late to buy Argan Inc (AGX) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AGX has moved -11.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to -6.5% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -4.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AGX has gained +17.8% vs -76.3% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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