Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Adecoagro S A (AGRO)

89 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AGRO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
→ 0
Streak
1Q —
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — AGRO

Based on 90 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

➡️

No change last quarter

last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.
📊

High ownership — 75% of 3.0Y peak

75% of all-time peak
90 funds currently hold this stock — 75% of the 3.0-year high of 120 funds (reached 2025 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding AGRO is almost the same as a year ago (-2 funds, -2% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

55 buying60 selling
Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 55 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AGRO position: 13 → 28 → 25 → 32. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years

54% conviction (2yr+) 18% medium 28% new
49 out of 90 hedge funds have held AGRO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +4%, value -29%

Value
-28%
Shares
+3%
Last quarter: funds added +4% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -29%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

11 → 13 → 28 → 25 → 32 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 13 → 28 → 25 → 32. A growing number of institutions are discovering AGRO each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 61% veterans vs 27% newcomers

61% veterans 11% 1-2yr 27% new
Entry-cohort mix of 96 holders: 59 (61%) are 2+ year veterans, 11 entered 1–2 years ago, and 26 (27%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 41% AUM from top-100 funds

41% from top-100 AUM funds
22 of 89 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 41% of total institutional value in AGRO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AGRO

In 2026 Q2, 55 hedge funds were net buyers of AGRO (32 opened a new position, 23 added to an existing one), while 60 reduced or exited (28 trimmed, 32 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 41% of total institutional value in AGRO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: flat (entries and exits balanced). Total institutional holders: 90.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AGRO

How many hedge funds hold AGRO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AGRO vs. share price

Market Analysis: AGRO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AGRO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Adecoagro S A (AGRO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AGRO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLP) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 85d ago
AGRO
+16.6%
XLP
-0.7%

AGRO outperformed XLP by +17.3% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 40d ago
AGRO
+25.0%
XLP
-4.2%

Since the filing became public, AGRO outperformed XLP by +29.2% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

5 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
3.4
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AGRO
89 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AGRO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 89 90 -1.11%
13F Shares 16M 16M 3.62%
Total Value $154M $216M -28.74%
New Positions 32 25 +7
Increased Positions 20 36 -16
Closed Positions 32 27 +5
Reduced Positions 28 16 +12
Total Calls 4 6 -33.33%
Total Puts 3 4 -25.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.75 0.67 Neutral

Statistics: AGRO

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

89 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AGRO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AGRO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Hatch Cove Capital, LLC 1.34% 317,100 $3.0M
2 Discovery Capital Management, LLC / Ct 0.55% 1,379,217 $13.2M
3 Comprehensive Money Management Services LLC 0.44% 73,832 $705K
4 PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. 0.31% 250,000 $2.4M
5 Wexford Capital LP 0.29% 235,000 $2.2M
6 Carrera Capital Advisors 0.26% 184,326 $1.8M
7 Ping Capital Management, INC. 0.23% 97,000 $926K
8 CenterBook Partners LP 0.16% 336,987 $3.2M
9 PDT Partners, LLC 0.13% 258,108 $2.5M
10 Pinpoint Asset Management (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. 0.11% 58,408 $558K
11 Burkehill Global Management, LP 0.07% 200,000 $1.9M
12 Beck Bode, LLC 0.05% 36,887 $352K
13 Monaco Asset Management SAM 0.05% 60,000 $573K
14 Quent Capital, LLC 0.04% 74,980 $716K
15 Capital Wealth Planning, LLC 0.04% 878,060 $8.4M
16 Engineers Gate Manager LP 0.02% 141,992 $1.4M
17 Fox Run Management, L.L.C. 0.02% 11,083 $106K
18 Voloridge Investment Management, LLC 0.01% 366,028 $3.5M
19 Intesa Sanpaolo Wealth Management 0.01% 7,651 $73K
20 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.01% 11,105 $106K
21 WINTON GROUP Ltd 0.01% 45,882 $438K
22 Jump Financial, LLC 0.01% 92,757 $1.0M
23 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.01% 1,878,635 $17.9M
24 XTX Topco Ltd 0.01% 92,206 $881K
25 Caption Management, LLC 0.01% 250,000 $2.4M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Adecoagro S A (AGRO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AGRO?

No change last quarter: The number of hedge funds holding this stock didn't change last quarter. Neither a buying nor selling signal on its own — watch the next quarter for direction.

What is the institutional breadth score for AGRO?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 60 funds reduced or exited vs 55 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AGRO holders?

Elite ownership — 41% AUM from top-100 funds: 22 of 89 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 41% of total institutional value in AGRO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AGRO?

54% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 49 out of 90 hedge funds have held AGRO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Adecoagro S A (AGRO) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AGRO has moved +25.0% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to -4.2% for the XLP sector ETF — an outperformance of +29.2%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), AGRO has gained +16.6% vs -0.7% for XLP. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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