Based on 16 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 2 quarters in a row
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AGM/A positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊
High ownership — 84% of 3.0Y peak
84% of all-time peak
16 funds currently hold this stock — 84% of the 3.0-year high of 19 funds (reached 2024 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
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Outflows — 16% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
3 fewer hedge funds hold AGM/A compared to a year ago (-16% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🔴
Heavy selling pressure — only 25% buying
3 buying9 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds sold vs only 3 buyers. This is widespread institutional distribution — not a few funds rebalancing, but a broad exit. High conviction bearish signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~1 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 2 → 1 → 1. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒
81% of holders stayed for 2+ years
■ 81% conviction (2yr+)
■ 12% medium
■ 6% new
13 out of 16 hedge funds have held AGM/A for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
⚠️
Saturation — most institutions already know this story
2 → 2 → 2 → 1 → 1 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 2 → 1 → 1. Far fewer institutions are entering now vs. a year ago. When the pool of potential new buyers shrinks this fast, future price support from institutional inflows weakens significantly.
🏛️
Deep conviction — 81% of holders stayed 2+ years
■ 81% veterans
■ 6% 1-2yr
■ 12% new
Of 16 current holders: 13 (81%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅
Strong quality — 34% AUM from major funds
34% from top-100 AUM funds
7 of 16 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 34% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.