Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Federal Agric Mtg Corp (AGM)

225 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AGM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -6
Streak
3Q ▼
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — AGM

Based on 227 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AGM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 89% of 3.0Y peak

89% of all-time peak
227 funds currently hold this stock — 89% of the 3.0-year high of 255 funds (reached 2025 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉

Outflows — 8% fewer funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
20 fewer hedge funds hold AGM compared to a year ago (-8% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

122 buying116 selling
Last quarter: 122 funds bought or added vs 116 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~36 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 28 → 22 → 34 → 36. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

65% conviction (2yr+) 20% medium 15% new
147 out of 227 hedge funds have held AGM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -0%, value -21%

Value
-20%
Shares
0%
Last quarter: funds added -0% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -21%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

28 → 28 → 22 → 34 → 36 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 28 → 22 → 34 → 36. A growing number of institutions are discovering AGM each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 19% newcomers

68% veterans 13% 1-2yr 19% new
Entry-cohort mix of 236 holders: 160 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 31 entered 1–2 years ago, and 45 (19%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds

48% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 227 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in AGM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AGM

In 2026 Q1, 122 hedge funds were net buyers of AGM (36 opened a new position, 86 added to an existing one), while 116 reduced or exited (74 trimmed, 42 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. This extends a 3-quarter selling streak, suggesting sustained institutional caution. 48% of total institutional value in AGM is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -6 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 227.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AGM

How many hedge funds hold AGM — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AGM vs. share price

Market Analysis: AGM

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AGM

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Federal Agric Mtg Corp (AGM) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AGM has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 77d ago
AGM
+23.7%
XLF
+1220.3%

AGM outperformed XLF by -1196.6% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 32d ago
AGM
+5.9%
XLF
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, AGM outperformed XLF by +1.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

23 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
6.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AGM
225 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AGM. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 225 233 -3.43%
13F Shares 8M 8M -0.3%
Total Value $1.10B $1.39B -20.9%
New Positions 34 34 -
Increased Positions 82 74 +8
Closed Positions 42 35 +7
Reduced Positions 72 83 -11
Total Calls 4 4 -
Total Puts 5 6 -16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.25 1.5 Bearish

Statistics: AGM

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

225 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AGM. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AGM holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Weybosset Research & Management LLC 4.44% 103,743 $15.4M
2 Barnett & Company, Inc. 4.29% 37,173 $5.5M
3 Mountain Lake Investment Management LLC 4.11% 42,844 $6.4M
4 Ballast Asset Management, LP 2.48% 37,592 $5.6M
5 Pullen Investment Management, LLC 1.38% 18,549 $2.8M
6 Rice Hall James & Associates, LLC 0.95% 114,705 $17.0M
7 First Wilshire Securities Management Inc 0.90% 27,076 $4.0M
8 Copeland Capital Management, LLC 0.78% 236,583 $35.1M
9 Matthew 25 Management Corp 0.78% 15,750 $2.3M
10 Cruiser Capital Advisors, LLC 0.63% 10,981 $1.6M
11 Applied Capital LLC/FL 0.56% 7,944 $1.2M
12 VELA Investment Management, LLC 0.56% 16,356 $2.4M
13 Empirical Finance, LLC 0.29% 41,592 $6.2M
14 Militia Capital Management LLC 0.27% 8,000 $1.2M
15 Investors Asset Management of Georgia Inc /Ga/ /Adv 0.25% 4,080 $605K
16 Daytona Street Capital LLC 0.23% 2,000 $300K
17 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.20% 68,280 $10.1M
18 Hudson Edge Investment Partners INC. 0.15% 7,062 $1.0M
19 Global Alpha Capital Management Ltd. 0.15% 16,810 $2.5M
20 BlackDiamond Wealth Management, LLC 0.12% 1,685 $250K
21 Byrne Asset Management LLC 0.09% 1,083 $161K
22 Empowered Funds, LLC 0.09% 96,341 $14.3M
23 EntryPoint Capital, LLC 0.08% 1,790 $266K
24 James Investment Research, INC. 0.08% 4,567 $678K
25 Balboa Wealth Partners 0.07% 2,850 $423K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Federal Agric Mtg Corp (AGM)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AGM?

Selling streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AGM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AGM?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 122 funds bought or added vs 116 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AGM holders?

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds: 52 of 227 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in AGM. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AGM?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 147 out of 227 hedge funds have held AGM for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Federal Agric Mtg Corp (AGM) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AGM has moved +5.9% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +1.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AGM has gained +23.7% vs +1220.3% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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