Based on 14 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AGFY than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊
High ownership — 93% of 1.2Y peak
93% of all-time peak
14 funds currently hold this stock — 93% of the 1.2-year high of 15 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📉
Outflows — 7% fewer funds vs a year ago
fund count last 5Q
1 fewer hedge funds hold AGFY compared to a year ago (-7% decline). When institutions consistently reduce their exposure, it's worth exploring the underlying fundamental reasons driving them away.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 64% buying
7 buying4 selling
Last quarter: 7 funds were net buyers (5 opened a brand new position + 2 added to an existing one). Only 4 were sellers (2 trimmed + 2 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~5 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 2 → 5 → 1 → 5. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 36% entered in last year
■ 0% conviction (2yr+)
■ 64% medium
■ 36% new
Only 0 funds (0%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💎
Buying through price weakness — shares +15%, value -40%
Last quarter: funds added +15% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -40%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~5 new funds/quarter
2 → 5 → 1 → 5 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 2 → 5 → 1 → 5. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 100% of holders entered in last year
■ 0% veterans
■ 0% 1-2yr
■ 100% new
Of 14 current holders: 14 (100%) entered in the past year, only 0 (0%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 25% AUM from major funds
25% from top-100 AUM funds
5 of 14 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 25% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
Exit risk score 3.6/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.