Based on 30 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📉
Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFSM positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (97% of max)
97% of all-time peak
30 hedge funds hold AFSM right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +58% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+11 new funds entered over the past year (+58% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠
More sellers than buyers — 47% buying
16 buying18 selling
Last quarter: 18 funds reduced or exited vs 16 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~6 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 3 → 9 → 9 → 6. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔄
Mostly new holders — 43% entered in last year
■ 3% conviction (2yr+)
■ 53% medium
■ 43% new
Only 1 funds (3%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~6 new funds/quarter
9 → 3 → 9 → 9 → 6 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 3 → 9 → 9 → 6. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 67% of holders entered in last year
■ 10% veterans
■ 23% 1-2yr
■ 67% new
Of 30 current holders: 20 (67%) entered in the past year, only 3 (10%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅
Strong quality — 20% AUM from major funds
20% from top-100 AUM funds
4 of 30 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 20% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.9
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.9/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.