Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aflac Inc (AFL)

2K + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AFL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +50
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — AFL

Based on 1709 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AFL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
1,709 hedge funds hold AFL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+121 new funds entered over the past year (+8% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

766 buying725 selling
Last quarter: 766 funds bought or added vs 725 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+33 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AFL position: 149 → 191 → 142 → 175. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 70% conviction (2yr+) ■ 16% medium ■ 14% new
1,196 out of 1,709 hedge funds have held AFL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +26%, value +9%

Value
+9%
Shares
+25%
Last quarter: funds added +26% more shares while total portfolio value only changed +9%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~175 new funds/quarter

136 → 149 → 191 → 142 → 175 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 149 → 191 → 142 → 175. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 71% veterans vs 17% newcomers

■ 71% veterans ■ 12% 1-2yr ■ 17% new
Entry-cohort mix of 1,754 holders: 1,249 (71%) are 2+ year veterans, 213 entered 1–2 years ago, and 292 (17%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds

47% from top-100 AUM funds
66 of 1699 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in AFL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AFL

In 2026 Q2, 766 hedge funds were net buyers of AFL (175 opened a new position, 591 added to an existing one), while 725 reduced or exited (600 trimmed, 125 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 47% of total institutional value in AFL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +50 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 1709.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AFL

How many hedge funds hold AFL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AFL vs. share price

Market Analysis: AFL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AFL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Aflac Inc (AFL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AFL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q3 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End September 30, 2026 · 36d ago
AFL
+15.1%
XLF
-6.3%

AFL outperformed XLF by +21.4% since September 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date November 14, 2026 · -9d ago
AFL
+0.0%
XLF
+0.0%

Since the filing became public, AFL outperformed XLF by +0.0% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

47 top-rated funds 14 high-conviction
Consensus
7.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AFL
2026 Q3 Stats Unlock in 14 days 2K + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AFL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 1684 1659 1.51%
13F Shares 346M 345M 0.41%
Total Value $39.92B $37.19B 7.35%
New Positions 171 142 +29
Increased Positions 574 515 +59
Closed Positions 136 146 -10
Reduced Positions 575 648 -73
Total Calls 28 31 -9.68%
Total Puts 27 29 -6.9%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.96 0.94 Neutral

Statistics: AFL

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
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Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
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Income Statement & Cash Flow
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Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

2K + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AFL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AFL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. 100.00% 50,898,490 $5.97B
2 Dorato Capital Management 15.47% 187,171 $22.8M
3 Approach Retirement Advisors, LLC 9.08% 106,635 $12.5M
4 Price Financial Group Wealth Management, Inc 8.56% 4,237 $515K
5 PhiloSmith Capital Corp 8.49% 266,500 $31.2M
6 Greatmark Investment Partners, INC. 7.92% 612,354 $71.8M
7 Gladstone Capital Management LLP 7.02% 604,852 $70.9M
8 Paces Ferry Wealth Advisors, LLC 4.99% 114,761 $13.5M
9 Longboard Asset Management, LP 4.53% 2,302 $270K
10 Guinness Asset Management LTD 4.04% 2,043,845 $238.8M
11 Edmp, INC. 3.97% 42,038 $4.9M
12 Lawson Kroeker Investment Management Inc/Ne 3.85% 118,548 $13.9M
13 Jericho Financial, LLP 3.50% 57,627 $6.8M
14 Peninsula Asset Management Inc 3.34% 59,429 $7.0M
15 Royal Palms Capital LLC 3.01% 29,183 $3.4M
16 Alkeme Wealth, LLC 2.56% 57,174 $6.7M
17 TCTC Holdings, LLC 2.49% 809,298 $94.9M
18 Virginia Wealth Management Group, INC. 2.46% 42,188 $4.9M
19 Chiron Capital Management, LLC 2.45% 23,258 $2.7M
20 Roffman Miller Associates Inc /Pa/ 2.12% 345,878 $40.6M
21 Weaver C. Barksdale & Associates, Inc. 2.02% 19,184 $2.2M
22 Long Road Investment Counsel, LLC 1.93% 44,650 $5.2M
23 Gould Capital, LLC 1.92% 29,418 $3.4M
24 JNBA Financial Advisors 1.91% 214,727 $25.2M
25 Security National Bank of Sioux City Iowa /Ia/ 1.90% 39,570 $4.6M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

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Frequently Asked Questions — Aflac Inc (AFL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AFL?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AFL than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AFL?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 766 funds bought or added vs 725 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AFL holders?

Elite ownership — 47% AUM from top-100 funds: 66 of 1699 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 47% of total institutional value in AFL. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AFL?

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 1,196 out of 1,709 hedge funds have held AFL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Aflac Inc (AFL) following the 2026 Q3 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AFL has moved +0.0% since the 2026 Q3 13F filing date (November 14, 2026), compared to +0.0% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of +0.0%. Since the quarter end (September 30, 2026), AFL has gained +15.1% vs -6.3% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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