Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

American Financial Group Inc (AFG)

482 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AFG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -16
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — AFG

Based on 486 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (97% of max)

97% of all-time peak
486 hedge funds hold AFG right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +4% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+18 new funds entered over the past year (+4% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

259 buying260 selling
Last quarter: 259 funds bought or added vs 260 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~83 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 63 → 82 → 86 → 83. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 17% new
305 out of 486 hedge funds have held AFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

84 → 63 → 82 → 86 → 83 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 63 → 82 → 86 → 83. A growing number of institutions are discovering AFG each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 69% veterans vs 21% newcomers

■ 69% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 492 holders: 339 (69%) are 2+ year veterans, 48 entered 1–2 years ago, and 105 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 64% AUM from top-100 funds

64% from top-100 AUM funds
57 of 485 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 64% of total institutional value in AFG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AFG

In 2026 Q1, 259 hedge funds were net buyers of AFG (83 opened a new position, 176 added to an existing one), while 260 reduced or exited (161 trimmed, 99 sold completely) — a 50% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 64% of total institutional value in AFG is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -16 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 486.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AFG

How many hedge funds hold AFG — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AFG vs. share price

Market Analysis: AFG

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AFG

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

32 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
6.6
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AFG
2026 Q2 Stats Unlock in 4 days 482 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AFG. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 482 501 -3.79%
13F Shares 56M 59M -4.64%
Total Value $7.11B $7.97B -10.79%
New Positions 81 86 -5
Increased Positions 174 175 -1
Closed Positions 100 62 +38
Reduced Positions 158 160 -2
Total Calls 3 3 -
Total Puts 4 3 33.33%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.33 1.0 Bearish

Statistics: AFG

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

482 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AFG. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
2026 Q2 filings are still coming in. Only funds that have filed so far are shown — top holders may not have reported yet. Full 13F data typically settles by ~50 days after quarter-end.
Top 25 AFG holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 American Financial Group Inc 401(k) Retirement & Savings Plan 100.00% 2,245,258 $314.2M
2 Wealthquest Corp 3.03% 343,363 $48.1M
3 Sovereign's Capital Management, LLC 2.33% 24,925 $3.5M
4 Viking Fund Management LLC 1.27% 101,000 $14.1M
5 Taylor Frigon Capital Management LLC 0.76% 11,544 $1.6M
6 Neo Ivy Capital Management 0.69% 21,470 $3.0M
7 Lighthouse Investment Partners, LLC 0.60% 158,166 $22.1M
8 Boston Trust Walden Corp 0.54% 509,809 $71.3M
9 Archvest Wealth Advisors, Inc. 0.52% 6,468 $905K
10 DC Investments Management, LLC 0.51% 10,721 $1.5M
11 Nordwand Advisors, LLC 0.50% 23,475 $3.3M
12 Cambria Investment Management, L.P. 0.47% 68,505 $9.6M
13 Applied Capital LLC/FL 0.47% 8,264 $1.2M
14 Fort Washington Investment Advisors Inc /Oh/ 0.43% 612,722 $85.7M
15 Bridgefront Capital, LLC 0.40% 10,837 $1.5M
16 Lecap Asset Management Ltd 0.40% 6,640 $929K
17 A&I Financial Services, LLC 0.37% 6,091 $852K
18 iSAM Funds (UK) Ltd 0.37% 3,700 $518K
19 EULAV Asset Management 0.36% 80,792 $11.3M
20 Machina Capital S.A.S. 0.35% 15,871 $2.2M
21 Hengehold Capital Management LLC 0.34% 31,566 $4.4M
22 Curi Capital, LLC 0.30% 137,840 $19.3M
23 Dockside LLC 0.28% 8,539 $1.2M
24 Atom Investors LP 0.27% 21,555 $3.0M
25 Index Technologies Group LLC 0.27% 2,396 $335K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — American Financial Group Inc (AFG)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AFG?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AFG positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AFG?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 259 funds bought or added vs 260 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AFG holders?

Elite ownership — 64% AUM from top-100 funds: 57 of 485 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 64% of total institutional value in AFG. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AFG?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 305 out of 486 hedge funds have held AFG for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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