Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aes Corp (AES)

738 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AES. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +11
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — AES

Based on 745 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AES than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
745 hedge funds hold AES right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+59 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

389 buying406 selling
Last quarter: 406 funds reduced or exited vs 389 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+8 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AES position: 113 → 103 → 128 → 136. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 21% medium ■ 20% new
441 out of 745 hedge funds have held AES for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +207% but shares only +2% — price-driven

Value
+206%
Shares
+2%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +207%, but actual share count only changed +2%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

120 → 113 → 103 → 128 → 136 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 113 → 103 → 128 → 136. A growing number of institutions are discovering AES each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 67% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 788 holders: 527 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 73 entered 1–2 years ago, and 188 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 83% AUM from top-100 funds

83% from top-100 AUM funds
58 of 741 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 83% of total institutional value in AES. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AES

In 2026 Q1, 389 hedge funds were net buyers of AES (136 opened a new position, 253 added to an existing one), while 406 reduced or exited (281 trimmed, 125 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. This marks 3 consecutive quarters of net institutional buying — a persistent conviction signal. 83% of total institutional value in AES is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +11 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 745.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AES

How many hedge funds hold AES — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AES vs. share price

Market Analysis: AES

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AES

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Aes Corp (AES) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AES has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLU) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 78d ago
AES
+3.9%
XLU
-1.8%

AES outperformed XLU by +5.7% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 33d ago
AES
+1.2%
XLU
+92.3%

Since the filing became public, AES outperformed XLU by -91.1% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

47 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
7.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.9
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AES
738 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AES. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 738 734 0.54%
13F Shares 637M 625M 1.96%
Total Value $27.41B $8.94B 206.63%
New Positions 133 128 +5
Increased Positions 240 263 -23
Closed Positions 129 82 +47
Reduced Positions 268 249 +19
Total Calls 24 18 33.33%
Total Puts 23 22 4.55%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.96 1.22 Neutral

Statistics: AES

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

738 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AES. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AES holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Sand Grove Capital Management LLP 5.51% 1,737,102 $24.5M
2 Fort Baker Capital Management LP 4.89% 4,418,762 $62.3M
3 Vazirani Asset Management LLC 4.87% 150,000 $2.1M
4 Kapitalo Investimentos Ltda 3.75% 1,415,635 $19.9M
5 Sona Asset Management (us) LLC 3.28% 11,058,265 $155.8M
6 Rock Point Advisors, LLC 3.07% 806,019 $11.4M
7 Kintayl Capital LP 2.88% 392,577 $5.5M
8 Kryger Capital LLC 2.24% 2,250,000 $31.7M
9 Carson Advisory Inc. 2.18% 297,854 $4.2M
10 Weaver C. Barksdale & Associates, Inc. 2.10% 156,438 $2.2M
11 NINE MASTS CAPITAL Ltd 1.99% 979,942 $13.8M
12 Gould Capital, LLC 1.95% 228,157 $3.2M
13 AQR Arbitrage LLC 1.90% 8,232,095 $115.7M
14 Bck Capital Management LP 1.84% 30,000 $423K
15 Mirabella Financial Services LLP 1.83% 1,374,000 $19.4M
16 Credit Capital Investments LLC 1.62% 127,000 $1.8M
17 Alpine Associates Management INC. 1.57% 1,890,163 $26.6M
18 Olympiad Research LP 1.51% 35,261 $497K
19 Stansberry Asset Management, LLC 1.40% 969,123 $13.7M
20 Slagle Financial, LLC 1.35% 290,190 $4.1M
21 CIBRA Capital Ltd 1.33% 195,700 $2.8M
22 Patrick Mauro Investment Advisor, INC. 1.30% 182,939 $2.6M
23 Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd 1.28% 919,232 $13.0M
24 Bruni J V & Co /Co 1.27% 863,985 $12.2M
25 Governors Lane LP 1.20% 1,331,984 $18.8M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Aes Corp (AES)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AES?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AES than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AES?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 406 funds reduced or exited vs 389 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AES holders?

Elite ownership — 83% AUM from top-100 funds: 58 of 741 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 83% of total institutional value in AES. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AES?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 441 out of 745 hedge funds have held AES for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Aes Corp (AES) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AES has moved +1.2% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +92.3% for the XLU sector ETF — an outperformance of -91.1%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AES has gained +3.9% vs -1.8% for XLU. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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