Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aes Corp (AES)

692 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AES. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -46
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — AES

Based on 702 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AES positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 94% of 3.0Y peak

94% of all-time peak
702 funds currently hold this stock — 94% of the 3.0-year high of 748 funds (reached 2026 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding AES is almost the same as a year ago (+19 funds, +3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

363 buying385 selling
Last quarter: 385 funds reduced or exited vs 363 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-50 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 103 → 128 → 138 → 88. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 63% conviction (2yr+) ■ 18% medium ■ 20% new
439 out of 702 hedge funds have held AES for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +1%, value -64%

Value
-63%
Shares
+1%
Last quarter: funds added +1% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -64%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~88 new funds/quarter

114 → 103 → 128 → 138 → 88 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 103 → 128 → 138 → 88. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 68% veterans vs 22% newcomers

■ 68% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 22% new
Entry-cohort mix of 738 holders: 501 (68%) are 2+ year veterans, 73 entered 1–2 years ago, and 164 (22%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds

56% from top-100 AUM funds
63 of 700 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in AES. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.3
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.3/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AES

In 2026 Q2, 363 hedge funds were net buyers of AES (88 opened a new position, 275 added to an existing one), while 385 reduced or exited (251 trimmed, 134 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 56% of total institutional value in AES is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -46 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 702.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AES

How many hedge funds hold AES — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AES vs. share price

Market Analysis: AES

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AES

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

21 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
5.8
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AES
692 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AES. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 692 748 -7.49%
13F Shares 634M 638M -0.49%
Total Value $9.14B $27.42B -66.68%
New Positions 84 138 -54
Increased Positions 259 241 +18
Closed Positions 138 125 +13
Reduced Positions 242 271 -29
Total Calls 16 24 -33.33%
Total Puts 22 23 -4.35%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.38 0.96 Bearish

Statistics: AES

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

692 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AES. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AES holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Vazirani Asset Management LLC 17.31% 240,000 $3.5M
2 Sand Grove Capital Management LLP 7.16% 1,872,474 $27.5M
3 Kryger Capital LLC 5.72% 6,840,535 $100.3M
4 Fort Baker Capital Management LP 5.13% 4,787,083 $70.2M
5 Olympiad Research LP 3.12% 102,389 $1.5M
6 Versor Investments LP 3.06% 99,295 $1.5M
7 Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd 2.93% 2,103,152 $30.8M
8 Birnam Oak Advisors, LP 2.92% 1,226,667 $18.0M
9 Rock Point Advisors, LLC 2.87% 801,429 $11.7M
10 AQR Arbitrage LLC 2.85% 13,686,323 $200.3M
11 Kintayl Capital LP 2.62% 449,205 $6.6M
12 GABELLI & Co INVESTMENT ADVISERS, INC. 2.40% 1,123,650 $16.5M
13 Weaver C. Barksdale & Associates, Inc. 2.05% 155,922 $2.3M
14 Alpine Associates Management INC. 1.90% 2,067,444 $30.3M
15 Gould Capital, LLC 1.89% 231,656 $3.4M
16 Carson Advisory Inc. 1.86% 276,977 $4.1M
17 Campbell Capital Management Inc 1.76% 334,561 $4.9M
18 Governors Lane LP 1.63% 1,331,984 $19.5M
19 Stansberry Asset Management, LLC 1.29% 962,326 $14.1M
20 Sona Asset Management (us) LLC 1.02% 3,319,005 $48.7M
21 Calydon Capital 0.92% 429,813 $6.3M
22 Patrick Mauro Investment Advisor, INC. 0.89% 120,633 $1.8M
23 TIG Advisors, LLC 0.88% 1,353,238 $19.8M
24 WINTON GROUP Ltd 0.87% 1,828,033 $26.8M
25 Credit Capital Investments LLC 0.84% 100,000 $1.5M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Aes Corp (AES)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AES?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AES positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AES?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 385 funds reduced or exited vs 363 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AES holders?

Elite ownership — 56% AUM from top-100 funds: 63 of 700 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 56% of total institutional value in AES. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AES?

63% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 439 out of 702 hedge funds have held AES for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →