Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER)

617 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +65
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — AER

Based on 601 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
601 hedge funds hold AER right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +14% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+75 new funds entered over the past year (+14% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

291 buying287 selling
Last quarter: 291 funds bought or added vs 287 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+63 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AER position: 68 → 86 → 53 → 116. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 56% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 22% new
336 out of 601 hedge funds have held AER for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+20% value, -2% shares)

Value
+20%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: total value of institutional AER holdings rose +20% even though funds reduced share count by 2%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~116 new funds/quarter

66 → 68 → 86 → 53 → 116 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 68 → 86 → 53 → 116. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 59% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 59% veterans ■ 15% 1-2yr ■ 27% new
Of 617 current holders: 362 (59%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 28% AUM from major funds

28% from top-100 AUM funds
43 of 601 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 28% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AER

How many hedge funds hold AER — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AER vs. share price

Market Analysis: AER

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AER

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

76 top-rated funds 16 high-conviction
Consensus
8.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AER
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 21 days 617 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 617 555 11.17%
13F Shares 146M 149M -1.84%
Total Value $20.33B $16.90B 20.31%
New Positions 116 53 +63
Increased Positions 199 221 -22
Closed Positions 54 74 -20
Reduced Positions 264 263 +1
Total Calls 9 11 -18.18%
Total Puts 8 10 -20.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.89 0.91 Neutral

Statistics: AER

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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Enterprise Value --
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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

617 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AER. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of AER — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 M3F, Inc. 8.09% 238,000 $33K
2 O'Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc. 4.98% 146,850 $20.1M
3 Henry James International Management Inc. 3.87% 78,141 $10.7M
4 Hi-Line Capital Management, LLC 2.88% 66,793 $9.2M
5 Townsend & Associates, Inc 1.75% 146,535 $20.3M
6 EPIQ PARTNERS, LLC 1.52% 23,652 $3.2M
7 TRAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. 1.40% 74,360 $10.2M
8 Vanderbilt University 1.22% 46,775 $6.4M
9 Steadtrust LLC 1.10% 14,180 $1.9M
10 Triasima Portfolio Management inc. 1.00% 48,321 $6.6M
11 Ninety One UK Ltd 0.89% 2,810,328 $385.5M
12 WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC 0.57% 225,645 $31.0M
13 Kepler Cheuvreux (Suisse) SA 0.50% 54,390 $7.5M
14 LGT Fund Management Co Ltd. 0.45% 75,904 $10.4M
15 Leeward Investments, LLC - MA 0.40% 59,284 $8.1M
16 Ninety One SA (PTY) Ltd 0.35% 59,863 $8.1M
17 EJMK Ventures LLC 0.35% 4,519 $620K
18 HERITAGE INVESTORS MANAGEMENT CORP 0.34% 80,751 $11K
19 Avise Financial Cooperative, Inc. 0.33% 2,891 $397K
20 DGS Capital Management, LLC 0.29% 13,005 $1.8M
21 Balboa Wealth Partners 0.23% 10,125 $1.4M
22 IFM Investors Pty Ltd 0.22% 124,143 $26.8M
23 Eagle Bay Advisors LLC 0.22% 1,822 $250K
24 Ninety One North America, Inc. 0.22% 35,784 $4.9M
25 BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda. 0.18% 40,000 $5.5M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AER?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AER?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 291 funds bought or added vs 287 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AER holders?

Strong quality — 28% AUM from major funds: 43 of 601 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 28% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AER?

56% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 336 out of 601 hedge funds have held AER for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.