Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aercap Holdings NV (AER)

661 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +33
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — AER

Based on 662 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
662 hedge funds hold AER right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +20% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+112 new funds entered over the past year (+20% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

336 buying317 selling
Last quarter: 336 funds bought or added vs 317 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-19 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 91 → 56 → 122 → 103. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years

55% conviction (2yr+) 22% medium 23% new
366 out of 662 hedge funds have held AER for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

72 → 91 → 56 → 122 → 103 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 91 → 56 → 122 → 103. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 59% veterans vs 27% newcomers

59% veterans 14% 1-2yr 27% new
Entry-cohort mix of 679 holders: 401 (59%) are 2+ year veterans, 92 entered 1–2 years ago, and 186 (27%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.

Strong quality — 29% AUM from major funds

29% from top-100 AUM funds
60 of 660 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 29% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AER

In 2026 Q1, 336 hedge funds were net buyers of AER (103 opened a new position, 233 added to an existing one), while 317 reduced or exited (247 trimmed, 70 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. Net buying has persisted for two consecutive quarters, a positive momentum signal. 29% of total institutional value in AER is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +33 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 662.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AER

How many hedge funds hold AER — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AER vs. share price

Market Analysis: AER

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AER

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Aercap Holdings NV (AER) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AER has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
AER
+5.1%
XLI
+11.0%

AER outperformed XLI by -5.9% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
AER
+3.1%
XLI
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, AER outperformed XLI by -1.7% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

39 top-rated funds 15 high-conviction
Consensus
7.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.0
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AER
661 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AER. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 661 629 5.09%
13F Shares 143M 151M -5.31%
Total Value $18.11B $20.96B -13.63%
New Positions 103 122 -19
Increased Positions 231 176 +55
Closed Positions 71 53 +18
Reduced Positions 241 242 -1
Total Calls 7 9 -22.22%
Total Puts 12 8 50.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.71 0.89 Bearish

Statistics: AER

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

661 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AER. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AER holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Wgi Dm, LLC 33.86% 2,467,122 $338.4M
2 High Ground Investment Management LLP 30.86% 1,211,573 $166.2M
3 Mbb Public Markets I LLC 18.52% 1,133,357 $155.5M
4 59 North Capital Management, LP 12.78% 3,123,399 $428.5M
5 Dorsey Asset Management, LLC 12.27% 1,123,489 $154.1M
6 L1 Capital International Pty Ltd 11.00% 1,344,992 $184.5M
7 Kize Capital LP 8.74% 50,730 $7.0M
8 Charter Oak Advisors LP 8.35% 100,426 $13.8M
9 Redwood Capital Management, LLC 8.23% 404,266 $55.5M
10 Donald Smith & CO., INC. 7.78% 3,150,675 $432.2M
11 Engle Capital Management, L.P. 7.67% 164,000 $22.5M
12 Four Tree Island Advisory LLC 7.20% 104,039 $14.3M
13 Bruce & Co., Inc. 7.20% 183,500 $25.2M
14 Avantyr Capital Partners, LP 6.98% 1,059,549 $145.3M
15 VR Advisory Services Ltd 6.25% 384,793 $52.8M
16 English Capital Management LLC 5.54% 68,933 $9.5M
17 Lyrical Asset Management LP 5.44% 2,601,851 $356.9M
18 TOMS Capital Investment Management LP 5.01% 1,394,000 $191.2M
19 Ativo Capital Management LLC 4.98% 41,724 $5.7M
20 O'Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc. 4.98% 146,850 $20.1M
21 Empyrean Capital Partners, LP 4.47% 1,000,000 $137.2M
22 140 Summer Partners LP 4.26% 508,566 $69.8M
23 Henry James International Management Inc. 3.87% 78,141 $10.7M
24 Bruni J V & Co /Co 3.85% 268,965 $36.9M
25 Eagle Capital Management LLC 3.36% 7,315,306 $1.00B
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Aercap Holdings NV (AER)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AER?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AER than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AER?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 336 funds bought or added vs 317 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AER holders?

Strong quality — 29% AUM from major funds: 60 of 660 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 29% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AER?

55% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 366 out of 662 hedge funds have held AER for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Aercap Holdings NV (AER) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AER has moved +3.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -1.7%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AER has gained +5.1% vs +11.0% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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