Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

American Eagle Outfitters In (AEO)

363 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AEO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -22
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
50%

Smart Money Signals — AEO

Based on 364 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AEO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 94% of 3.0Y peak

94% of all-time peak
364 funds currently hold this stock — 94% of the 3.0-year high of 386 funds (reached 2025 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +8% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+27 new funds entered over the past year (+8% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 50% buying

200 buying204 selling
Last quarter: 200 funds bought or added vs 204 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-38 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 59 → 91 → 97 → 59. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 65% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 20% new
235 out of 364 hedge funds have held AEO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -12%, value -48%

Value
-48%
Shares
-12%
Last quarter: funds added -12% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -48%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~59 new funds/quarter

74 → 59 → 91 → 97 → 59 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 59 → 91 → 97 → 59. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 70% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 70% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 21% new
Of 387 current holders: 271 (70%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds

52% from top-100 AUM funds
51 of 364 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in AEO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.5
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.5/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AEO

In 2026 Q1, 200 hedge funds were net buyers of AEO (59 opened a new position, 141 added to an existing one), while 204 reduced or exited (123 trimmed, 81 sold completely) — a 50% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 52% of total institutional value in AEO is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -22 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 364.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AEO

How many hedge funds hold AEO — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AEO vs. share price

Market Analysis: AEO

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AEO

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy American Eagle Outfitters In (AEO) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much AEO has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLY) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 75d ago
AEO
+12.5%
XLY
+7.0%

AEO outperformed XLY by +5.5% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 30d ago
AEO
+22.7%
XLY
+0.1%

Since the filing became public, AEO outperformed XLY by +22.6% .

Interpretation: The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

27 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
6.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AEO
363 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AEO. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 363 386 -5.96%
13F Shares 154M 176M -12.48%
Total Value $2.52B $4.84B -47.98%
New Positions 58 97 -39
Increased Positions 135 119 +16
Closed Positions 81 40 +41
Reduced Positions 118 136 -18
Total Calls 15 20 -25.0%
Total Puts 11 20 -45.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.73 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: AEO

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Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

363 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AEO. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AEO holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Impala Asset Management LLC 1.13% 145,300 $2.4M
2 S&T Bank/Pa 1.01% 161,509 $2.7M
3 SummerHaven Investment Management, LLC 0.79% 77,064 $1.3M
4 Hussman Strategic Advisors, INC. 0.76% 210,000 $3.5M
5 J. Goldman & Co LP 0.67% 1,388,271 $23.2M
6 Truffle Hound Capital, LLC 0.61% 140,000 $2.3M
7 Broad Peak Investment Advisers Pte Ltd 0.60% 178,000 $3.0M
8 J. Goldman & Co LP 0.52% 1,080,000 $18.0M
9 Oberweis Asset Management Inc/ 0.52% 1,044,900 $17.4M
10 Convergence Investment Partners, LLC 0.50% 184,222 $3.1M
11 Shellback Capital, LP 0.48% 200,000 $3.3M
12 Blueshift Asset Management, LLC 0.45% 89,309 $1.5M
13 Kinetic Partners Management, LP 0.42% 451,400 $7.5M
14 Systematic Financial Management LP 0.39% 1,007,476 $16.8M
15 Integrated Quantitative Investments LLC 0.33% 108,497 $1.8M
16 Diker Management LLC 0.30% 20,027 $334K
17 Numerai GP LLC 0.29% 175,674 $2.9M
18 Cinctive Capital Management LP 0.25% 227,289 $3.8M
19 Legacy Capital Group California, Inc. 0.25% 38,872 $649K
20 Easterly Investment Partners LLC 0.23% 182,523 $3.0M
21 Neo Ivy Capital Management 0.22% 51,000 $852K
22 Fox Run Management, L.L.C. 0.18% 65,454 $1.1M
23 Sciencast Management LP 0.18% 84,532 $1.4M
24 Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, INC. 0.18% 3,123,331 $52.2M
25 Polymer Capital Management (US) LLC 0.17% 100,550 $1.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — American Eagle Outfitters In (AEO)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AEO?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AEO positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AEO?

Slight buying edge — 50% buying: Last quarter: 200 funds bought or added vs 204 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AEO holders?

Elite ownership — 52% AUM from top-100 funds: 51 of 364 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 52% of total institutional value in AEO. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AEO?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 235 out of 364 hedge funds have held AEO for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy American Eagle Outfitters In (AEO) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, AEO has moved +22.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +0.1% for the XLY sector ETF — an outperformance of +22.6%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), AEO has gained +12.5% vs +7.0% for XLY. The stock has meaningfully outrun its sector. The trade has partially played out; entry is at a premium to the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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