Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Adt Inc Del (ADT)

440 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ADT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +3
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — ADT

Based on 443 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ADT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (98% of max)

98% of all-time peak
443 hedge funds hold ADT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +24% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+86 new funds entered over the past year (+24% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

247 buying252 selling
Last quarter: 252 funds reduced or exited vs 247 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+14 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ADT position: 104 → 86 → 83 → 97. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 50% conviction (2yr+) ■ 24% medium ■ 26% new
221 out of 443 hedge funds have held ADT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -2%, value -23%

Value
-22%
Shares
-1%
Last quarter: funds added -2% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -23%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~97 new funds/quarter

91 → 104 → 86 → 83 → 97 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 104 → 86 → 83 → 97. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 56% veterans vs 34% newcomers

■ 56% veterans ■ 10% 1-2yr ■ 34% new
Entry-cohort mix of 450 holders: 252 (56%) are 2+ year veterans, 47 entered 1–2 years ago, and 151 (34%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds

46% from top-100 AUM funds
52 of 440 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ADT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ADT

In 2026 Q1, 247 hedge funds were net buyers of ADT (97 opened a new position, 150 added to an existing one), while 252 reduced or exited (158 trimmed, 94 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 46% of total institutional value in ADT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +3 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 443.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ADT

How many hedge funds hold ADT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ADT vs. share price

Market Analysis: ADT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ADT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Adt Inc Del (ADT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ADT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLI) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
ADT
-1.4%
XLI
+11.0%

ADT outperformed XLI by -12.4% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
ADT
-5.1%
XLI
+4.8%

Since the filing became public, ADT outperformed XLI by -9.9% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

31 top-rated funds 2 high-conviction
Consensus
6.5
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ADT
440 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ADT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 440 440 -
13F Shares 741M 756M -2.0%
Total Value $4.68B $6.10B -23.14%
New Positions 96 83 +13
Increased Positions 148 162 -14
Closed Positions 96 93 +3
Reduced Positions 155 152 +3
Total Calls 5 5 -
Total Puts 5 6 -16.67%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.2 Neutral

Statistics: ADT

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

440 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ADT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ADT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Apollo Management Holdings, L.P. 8.81% 102,000,366 $670.1M
2 Monashee Investment Management LLC 2.50% 700,000 $4.6M
3 Ariel Investments, LLC 1.43% 19,475,052 $128.0M
4 Arnhold LLC 1.07% 2,223,057 $14.6M
5 Phocas Financial Corp. 0.80% 778,244 $5.1M
6 Pine Valley Investments Ltd Liability Co 0.77% 2,559,701 $16.9M
7 State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co 0.69% 133,333,333 $876.0M
8 Greenhouse Funds LLLP 0.65% 2,203,300 $14.5M
9 Partners Group Holding AG 0.54% 1,114,353 $7.3M
10 Cambria Investment Management, L.P. 0.51% 1,378,610 $9.1M
11 Burkehill Global Management, LP 0.49% 1,500,000 $9.9M
12 Bracebridge Capital, LLC 0.37% 2,126,000 $14.0M
13 Sound Income Strategies, LLC 0.35% 1,093,033 $7.2M
14 Wasatch Advisors LP 0.31% 7,045,676 $46.3M
15 A&I Financial Services, LLC 0.28% 89,688 $589K
16 Wedge Capital Management L L P/Nc 0.25% 2,069,795 $13.6M
17 Hennessy Advisors Inc 0.25% 1,052,600 $6.9M
18 Jupiter Asset Management Ltd 0.24% 6,861,759 $45.1M
19 WINTON GROUP Ltd 0.23% 978,781 $6.4M
20 Lee Danner & Bass Inc 0.22% 543,928 $3.6M
21 Seven Grand Managers, LLC 0.22% 500,000 $3.3M
22 Oxford Asset Management LLP 0.20% 71,453 $469K
23 Gallacher Capital Management LLC 0.20% 77,577 $510K
24 Knights of Columbus Asset Advisors LLC 0.19% 503,356 $3.3M
25 MQS Management LLC 0.18% 39,812 $262K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Adt Inc Del (ADT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ADT?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ADT than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for ADT?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 252 funds reduced or exited vs 247 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ADT holders?

Elite ownership — 46% AUM from top-100 funds: 52 of 440 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 46% of total institutional value in ADT. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ADT?

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 221 out of 443 hedge funds have held ADT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Adt Inc Del (ADT) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ADT has moved -5.1% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +4.8% for the XLI sector ETF — an outperformance of -9.9%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ADT has gained -1.4% vs +11.0% for XLI. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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