Based on 16 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly
📈
Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added ADPV than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️
At the ownership peak (100% of max)
100% of all-time peak
16 hedge funds hold ADPV right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀
Fast accumulation — +100% more funds vs a year ago
fund count last 6Q
+8 new funds entered over the past year (+100% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢
More buyers than sellers — 60% buying
9 buying6 selling
Last quarter: 9 funds were net buyers (6 opened a brand new position + 3 added to an existing one). Only 6 were sellers (4 trimmed + 2 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
➡️
Steady new buyers — ~6 new funds per quarter
new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 5 → 6 → 4 → 6. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
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Mostly new holders — 62% entered in last year
■ 6% conviction (2yr+)
■ 31% medium
■ 62% new
Only 1 funds (6%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
➡️
Steady discovery — ~6 new funds/quarter
2 → 5 → 6 → 4 → 6 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 5 → 6 → 4 → 6. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🌱
Early stage — 75% of holders entered in last year
■ 12% veterans
■ 12% 1-2yr
■ 75% new
Of 16 current holders: 12 (75%) entered in the past year, only 2 (12%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
📋
Smaller funds dominant — 7% AUM from top-100
7% from top-100 AUM funds
2 of 16 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, but together hold only 7% of total institutional value. The stock is held primarily by smaller and mid-sized funds.
5.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.