Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Adc Therapeutics SA (ADCT)

115 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ADCT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -1
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
55%

Smart Money Signals — ADCT

Based on 116 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ADCT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (99% of max)

99% of all-time peak
116 hedge funds hold ADCT right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +35% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+30 new funds entered over the past year (+35% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 55% buying

74 buying61 selling
Last quarter: 74 funds bought or added vs 61 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+11 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new ADCT position: 22 → 21 → 19 → 30. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 50% conviction (2yr+) ■ 22% medium ■ 28% new
58 out of 116 hedge funds have held ADCT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares -3%, value -72%

Value
-71%
Shares
-2%
Last quarter: funds added -3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -72%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

14 → 22 → 21 → 19 → 30 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 22 → 21 → 19 → 30. A growing number of institutions are discovering ADCT each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 51% veterans vs 31% newcomers

■ 51% veterans ■ 18% 1-2yr ■ 31% new
Entry-cohort mix of 118 holders: 60 (51%) are 2+ year veterans, 21 entered 1–2 years ago, and 37 (31%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds

36% from top-100 AUM funds
36 of 116 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.0
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.0/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ADCT

In 2026 Q2, 74 hedge funds were net buyers of ADCT (30 opened a new position, 44 added to an existing one), while 61 reduced or exited (30 trimmed, 31 sold completely) — a 55% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 36% of total institutional value in ADCT is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -1 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 116.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ADCT

How many hedge funds hold ADCT — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ADCT vs. share price

Market Analysis: ADCT

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ADCT

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Adc Therapeutics SA (ADCT) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ADCT has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLV) since the 2026 Q2 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End June 30, 2026 · 87d ago
ADCT
+22.4%
XLV
+8.2%

ADCT outperformed XLV by +14.2% since June 30, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date August 14, 2026 · 42d ago
ADCT
+29.7%
XLV
+2.6%

Since the filing became public, ADCT outperformed XLV by +27.1% .

Interpretation: The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

8 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
4.1
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ADCT
115 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ADCT. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 115 117 -1.71%
13F Shares 81M 83M -2.84%
Total Value $86M $310M -72.15%
New Positions 30 19 +11
Increased Positions 42 52 -10
Closed Positions 32 16 +16
Reduced Positions 28 27 +1
Total Calls 2 4 -50.0%
Total Puts 0 0 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.0 0.0 Bullish

Statistics: ADCT

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

115 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ADCT. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ADCT holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Prosight Management, LP 1.44% 7,824,749 $8.4M
2 Redmile Group, LLC 0.83% 11,526,710 $12.3M
3 Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 0.44% 12,326,184 $13.2M
4 TCG Crossover Management, LLC 0.29% 11,390,175 $12.2M
5 Platinum Investment Management Ltd 0.15% 581,609 $622K
6 Blue Owl Capital Holdings LP 0.12% 733,568 $785K
7 Opaleye Management Inc. 0.07% 700,000 $749K
8 DLK Investment Management, LLC 0.04% 33,155 $105K
9 Ground Swell Capital, LLC 0.02% 20,408 $22K
10 Lynx Capital Group Ltd /Adv 0.02% 15,000 $25K
11 DAFNA Capital Management LLC 0.02% 77,081 $82K
12 Saxony Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 23,768 $25K
13 Revolve Wealth Partners, LLC 0.01% 100,000 $107K
14 R Squared Ltd 0.01% 13,926 $15K
15 Florida Trust Wealth Management Co 0.01% 230,435 $247K
16 Point72 Asset Management, L.P. 0.00% 3,649,144 $3.9M
17 Aviso Wealth Management 0.00% 10,343 $11K
18 Axq Capital, LP 0.00% 27,407 $29K
19 Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB 0.00% 100,000 $107K
20 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 140,341 $150K
21 Panagora Asset Management Inc 0.00% 572,816 $613K
22 Millennium Management LLC 0.00% 2,899,535 $3.1M
23 Caitong International Asset Management Co., Ltd 0.00% 7,048 $8K
24 Quadrature Capital Ltd 0.00% 105,690 $113K
25 State of Wyoming 0.00% 5,713 $6K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Adc Therapeutics SA (ADCT)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ADCT?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ADCT positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for ADCT?

Slight buying edge — 55% buying: Last quarter: 74 funds bought or added vs 61 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for ADCT holders?

Strong quality — 36% AUM from major funds: 36 of 116 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 36% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held ADCT?

50% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 58 out of 116 hedge funds have held ADCT for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Adc Therapeutics SA (ADCT) following the 2026 Q2 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ADCT has moved +29.7% since the 2026 Q2 13F filing date (August 14, 2026), compared to +2.6% for the XLV sector ETF — an outperformance of +27.1%. Since the quarter end (June 30, 2026), ADCT has gained +22.4% vs +8.2% for XLV. The stock has significantly outperformed its sector benchmark — the original entry opportunity has largely been captured by earlier investors.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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