Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Arch Cap Group Ltd (ACGL)

906 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ACGL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -4
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
48%

Smart Money Signals — ACGL

Based on 912 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ACGL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
912 hedge funds hold ACGL right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
📶

Steady growth — +9% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+73 new funds entered over the past year (+9% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying

436 buying475 selling
Last quarter: 475 funds reduced or exited vs 436 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-53 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 98 → 93 → 168 → 115. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 60% conviction (2yr+) ■ 20% medium ■ 21% new
545 out of 912 hedge funds have held ACGL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

107 → 98 → 93 → 168 → 115 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 98 → 93 → 168 → 115. A growing number of institutions are discovering ACGL each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 62% veterans vs 24% newcomers

■ 62% veterans ■ 14% 1-2yr ■ 24% new
Entry-cohort mix of 921 holders: 574 (62%) are 2+ year veterans, 126 entered 1–2 years ago, and 221 (24%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
✅

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds

35% from top-100 AUM funds
63 of 910 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
3.8
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.8/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ACGL

In 2026 Q1, 436 hedge funds were net buyers of ACGL (115 opened a new position, 321 added to an existing one), while 475 reduced or exited (356 trimmed, 119 sold completely) — a 48% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 35% of total institutional value in ACGL is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -4 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 912.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ACGL

How many hedge funds hold ACGL — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ACGL vs. share price

Market Analysis: ACGL

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ACGL

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Is It Too Late to Buy Arch Cap Group Ltd (ACGL) Based on Hedge Fund 13F Filings?

Signal Freshness measures how much ACGL has moved relative to its sector benchmark (XLF) since the 2026 Q1 13F filing. A stock that has barely outrun its sector is still a relatively fresh entry point — the fund's thesis has not yet been priced in by the broader market.

Since Quarter End March 31, 2026 · 79d ago
ACGL
-3.8%
XLF
+9.5%

ACGL outperformed XLF by -13.3% since March 31, 2026.

Since 13F Filing Date May 15, 2026 · 34d ago
ACGL
-1.7%
XLF
+5.8%

Since the filing became public, ACGL outperformed XLF by -7.5% .

Interpretation: The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference. Learn more →

Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

59 top-rated funds 6 high-conviction
Consensus
7.7
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
5.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ACGL
906 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ACGL. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q1) Prior (2025 Q4) Change
Funds Holding 906 916 -1.09%
13F Shares 311M 326M -4.72%
Total Value $28.97B $31.18B -7.1%
New Positions 113 168 -55
Increased Positions 314 329 -15
Closed Positions 123 81 +42
Reduced Positions 354 309 +45
Total Calls 5 7 -28.57%
Total Puts 6 6 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.2 0.86 Neutral

Statistics: ACGL

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

906 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ACGL. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ACGL holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q1 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 High Ground Investment Management LLP 31.97% 1,793,857 $172.2M
2 PhiloSmith Capital Corp 7.87% 287,570 $27.6M
3 Robertson Opportunity Capital, LLC 7.46% 202,106 $19.4M
4 Bancreek Capital Management, LP 6.80% 16,366 $1.6M
5 Maren Capital LLC 5.92% 1,178,870 $113.2M
6 New Vernon Investment Management LLC 5.88% 57,695 $5.5M
7 Marshfield Associates 5.87% 3,051,421 $292.9M
8 Madison Asset Management, LLC 4.85% 4,076,446 $391.3M
9 Bamco Inc /Ny/ 4.84% 16,709,759 $1.60B
10 Gladstone Capital Management LLP 4.65% 482,222 $46.3M
11 Steinberg Asset Management LLC 4.61% 74,249 $7.1M
12 Artisan Partners Limited Partnership 3.49% 22,666,011 $2.18B
13 General American Investors Co Inc 3.35% 530,200 $50.9M
14 Wcm Investment Management, LLC 2.75% 12,602,412 $1.21B
15 Adalta Capital Management LLC 2.48% 53,921 $5.2M
16 Cooke & Bieler LP 2.43% 2,238,242 $214.8M
17 RBA Wealth Management, LLC 2.26% 65,377 $6.3M
18 Port Capital LLC 2.17% 508,652 $48.8M
19 Conscious Wealth Investments, LLC 2.12% 39,142 $3.8M
20 Smith Group Asset Management, LLC 2.02% 412,379 $39.6M
21 Davis Asset Management, L.P. 1.81% 650,000 $62.4M
22 Van Den Berg Management I, Inc 1.78% 81,086 $7.8M
23 Northstar Group, Inc. 1.78% 131,179 $12.6M
24 Fiduciary Management Inc /Wi/ 1.74% 1,461,096 $140.3M
25 Fogel Capital Management, Inc. 1.71% 38,954 $3.7M
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Arch Cap Group Ltd (ACGL)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ACGL?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ACGL positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for ACGL?

More sellers than buyers — 48% buying: Last quarter: 475 funds reduced or exited vs 436 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ACGL holders?

Strong quality — 35% AUM from major funds: 63 of 910 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 35% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held ACGL?

60% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 545 out of 912 hedge funds have held ACGL for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Is it too late to buy Arch Cap Group Ltd (ACGL) following the 2026 Q1 hedge fund 13F filings?

As of today, ACGL has moved -1.7% since the 2026 Q1 13F filing date (May 15, 2026), compared to +5.8% for the XLF sector ETF — an outperformance of -7.5%. Since the quarter end (March 31, 2026), ACGL has gained -3.8% vs +9.5% for XLF. The stock is tracking its sector benchmark closely. The signal remains fresh and the entry point is still near the fund's implied reference.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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