Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Arbor Realty Trust Inc (ABR)

293 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in ABR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Fetching live quote...
Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -9
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
49%

Smart Money Signals — ABR

Based on 305 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ABR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 89% of 3.0Y peak

89% of all-time peak
305 funds currently hold this stock — 89% of the 3.0-year high of 344 funds (reached 2024 Q4). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding ABR is almost the same as a year ago (-4 funds, -1% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying

151 buying155 selling
Last quarter: 155 funds reduced or exited vs 151 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-16 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 46 → 59 → 55 → 39. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔒

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years

65% conviction (2yr+) 17% medium 19% new
197 out of 305 hedge funds have held ABR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~39 new funds/quarter

38 → 46 → 59 → 55 → 39 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 59 → 55 → 39. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 67% veterans vs 21% newcomers

67% veterans 12% 1-2yr 21% new
Entry-cohort mix of 318 holders: 213 (67%) are 2+ year veterans, 38 entered 1–2 years ago, and 67 (21%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 68% AUM from top-100 funds

68% from top-100 AUM funds
46 of 297 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 68% of total institutional value in ABR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.0
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.0/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — ABR

In 2026 Q2, 151 hedge funds were net buyers of ABR (39 opened a new position, 112 added to an existing one), while 155 reduced or exited (107 trimmed, 48 sold completely) — a 49% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 68% of total institutional value in ABR is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -9 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 305.

Hedge Fund Ownership: ABR

How many hedge funds hold ABR — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of ABR vs. share price

Market Analysis: ABR

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: ABR

-- --

Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

Loading signal freshness…
Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

15 top-rated funds 0 high-conviction
Consensus
5.2
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.2
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: ABR
293 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in ABR. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 293 314 -6.69%
13F Shares 125M 123M 1.38%
Total Value $667M $923M -27.74%
New Positions 39 55 -16
Increased Positions 105 109 -4
Closed Positions 52 51 +1
Reduced Positions 103 98 +5
Total Calls 13 13 -
Total Puts 8 8 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.62 0.62 Bullish

Statistics: ABR

View More

Valuation Measures Data as of: --

Market Cap --
Enterprise Value --
Trailing P/E --
Forward P/E --
PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm) --

Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

293 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in ABR. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 ABR holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Significant Wealth Partners LLC 1.36% 231,033 $1.3M
2 GraniteShares Advisors LLC 1.25% 357,270 $1.9M
3 Scoggin Management LP 0.80% 1,375,000 $7.5M
4 Kassira Wealth Management LLC 0.78% 180,135 $976K
5 Miller Value Partners, LLC 0.78% 611,000 $3.3M
6 Odyssean, LLC 0.50% 570,598 $3.1M
7 Palogic Value Management, L.P. 0.49% 274,127 $1.5M
8 TT Capital Management LLC 0.40% 95,295 $516K
9 Arbiter Partners Capital Management LLC 0.39% 135,700 $735K
10 Cooperman Leon G 0.25% 1,664,739 $9.0M
11 Bayforest Capital Ltd 0.25% 49,668 $269K
12 Pennington Partners & CO., LLC 0.22% 127,316 $690K
13 VARCOV Co. 0.17% 81,538 $442K
14 Certuity, LLC 0.16% 600,537 $3.3M
15 Rhodes Investment Advisors Inc /Adv 0.14% 36,269 $197K
16 Vista Investment Management 0.11% 68,505 $371K
17 Fund Advisors of America Inc/FL 0.10% 20,505 $111K
18 Caxton Associates LLP 0.09% 872,985 $4.7M
19 Advisory Advocates, LLC 0.08% 16,700 $91K
20 Advisors Asset Management, Inc. 0.08% 931,196 $5.0M
21 Melia Wealth LLC 0.08% 24,172 $131K
22 Transce3nd, LLC 0.07% 1,511 $8K
23 WMG Financial Advisors, LLC 0.06% 28,600 $155K
24 Coatue Management LLC 0.05% 4,196,885 $22.7M
25 PFG Investments, LLC 0.05% 222,470 $1.2M
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Arbor Realty Trust Inc (ABR)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for ABR?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their ABR positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for ABR?

More sellers than buyers — 49% buying: Last quarter: 155 funds reduced or exited vs 151 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for ABR holders?

Elite ownership — 68% AUM from top-100 funds: 46 of 297 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 68% of total institutional value in ABR. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held ABR?

65% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 197 out of 305 hedge funds have held ABR for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

Full history →