Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Aardvark Therapeutics Inc (AARD)

70 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AARD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -9
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
42%

Smart Money Signals — AARD

Based on 70 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q2 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AARD positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
📊

High ownership — 89% of 3.0Y peak

89% of all-time peak
70 funds currently hold this stock — 89% of the 3.0-year high of 79 funds (reached 2026 Q1). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +100% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+35 new funds entered over the past year (+100% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 42% buying

38 buying52 selling
Last quarter: 52 funds reduced or exited vs 38 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
⚠️

Fewer new buyers each quarter (-15 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 13 → 24 → 33 → 18. Each quarter fewer new institutions are entering. This usually means most funds that wanted in are already in — the stock is well-known but the pool of potential new buyers is shrinking.
🔄

Mostly new holders — 61% entered in last year

■ 1% conviction (2yr+) ■ 37% medium ■ 61% new
Only 1 funds (1%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+41% value, -7% shares)

Value
+40%
Shares
-7%
Last quarter: total value of institutional AARD holdings rose +41% even though funds reduced share count by 7%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📈

Growing discovery — still being found

17 → 13 → 24 → 33 → 18 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 13 → 24 → 33 → 18. A growing number of institutions are discovering AARD each quarter. The narrative is still spreading — leaving room for ongoing capital accumulation.
🌱

Early stage — 77% of holders entered in last year

■ 3% veterans ■ 21% 1-2yr ■ 77% new
Of 73 current holders: 56 (77%) entered in the past year, only 2 (3%) are 2+ year veterans. This is an early-phase institutional idea — still being discovered. High upside potential if the thesis plays out, but thin conviction base.
✅

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds

27% from top-100 AUM funds
21 of 70 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
5.4
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 5.4/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AARD

In 2026 Q2, 38 hedge funds were net buyers of AARD (18 opened a new position, 20 added to an existing one), while 52 reduced or exited (25 trimmed, 27 sold completely) — a 42% buyer ratio, indicating roughly balanced activity. 27% of total institutional value in AARD is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting strong institutional quality. Net fund flow last quarter: -9 funds (more exits than new entries). Total institutional holders: 70.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AARD

How many hedge funds hold AARD — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AARD vs. share price

Market Analysis: AARD

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AARD

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

7 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
3.9
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
0.8
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AARD
70 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AARD. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 70 79 -11.39%
13F Shares 10M 10M -7.43%
Total Value $55M $39M 40.85%
New Positions 18 33 -15
Increased Positions 20 17 +3
Closed Positions 27 19 +8
Reduced Positions 24 21 +3
Total Calls 1 0 100%
Total Puts 2 2 -
PUT/CALL Ratio 2.0 0.0 Bearish

Statistics: AARD

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

70 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AARD. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AARD holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Decheng Capital LLC 3.08% 3,917,299 $22.6M
2 Laurion Capital Management LP 0.15% 1,034,459 $6.0M
3 EcoR1 Capital, LLC 0.11% 396,194 $2.3M
4 Abel Hall, LLC 0.01% 10,066 $58K
5 Smith, Moore & CO. 0.01% 20,000 $115K
6 Cantor Fitzgerald, L. P. 0.01% 116,582 $672K
7 J. Goldman & Co LP 0.01% 40,500 $233K
8 Prelude Capital Management, LLC 0.01% 12,426 $72K
9 EcoR1 Capital, LLC 0.00% 14,700 $85K
10 Bridgeway Capital Management, LLC 0.00% 24,000 $138K
11 Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C. 0.00% 300,000 $1.7M
12 XTX Topco Ltd 0.00% 19,888 $115K
13 Essential Partners LLC 0.00% 509 $3K
14 Woodline Partners LP 0.00% 72,429 $417K
15 Hilton Head Capital Partners, LLC 0.00% 434 $2K
16 China Universal Asset Management Co., Ltd. 0.00% 3,472 $20K
17 Ieq Capital, LLC 0.00% 38,382 $221K
18 Aqr Capital Management LLC 0.00% 480,249 $2.8M
19 Citadel Advisors LLC 0.00% 1,283,166 $7.4M
20 Stone House Investment Management, LLC 0.00% 1,000 $6K
21 Cresset Asset Management, LLC 0.00% 24,033 $138K
22 Two Sigma Investments, LP 0.00% 108,377 $624K
23 Tower Research Capital LLC (TRC) 0.00% 2,501 $14K
24 Arax Advisory Partners 0.00% 8,374 $48K
25 True Wealth Design, LLC 0.00% 162 —
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Aardvark Therapeutics Inc (AARD)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AARD?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AARD positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AARD?

More sellers than buyers — 42% buying: Last quarter: 52 funds reduced or exited vs 38 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AARD holders?

Strong quality — 27% AUM from major funds: 21 of 70 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 27% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AARD?

Mostly new holders — 61% entered in last year: Only 1 funds (1%) have held >2 years. The majority of current holders are relatively new to the position. New holders tend to sell faster when prices drop — a shallow conviction base that could amplify any sell-off.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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