Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP)

364 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↓ -9
Streak
1Q ▼
Buyers last Q
47%

Smart Money Signals — AAP

Based on 334 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📉

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AAP positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.
🔻

Below peak — only 62% of 3.0Y high

62% of all-time peak
Only 334 funds hold AAP today versus a peak of 537 funds at 2023 Q1 — just 62% of the maximum. Low institutional ownership can mean the stock is out of favor, but it also means there's a large pool of potential buyers if sentiment turns.
〰️

Stable — ownership unchanged year-over-year

fund count last 6Q
The number of hedge funds holding AAP is almost the same as a year ago (-10 funds, -3% change). No significant rush to buy or sell — institutional backing is holding steady.
🟠

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying

174 buying193 selling
Last quarter: 193 funds reduced or exited vs 174 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~57 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 46 → 75 → 61 → 57. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 70% conviction (2yr+) ■ 15% medium ■ 15% new
234 out of 334 hedge funds have held AAP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💎

Buying through price weakness — shares +3%, value -35%

Value
-35%
Shares
+3%
Last quarter: funds added +3% more shares while total portfolio value only changed -35%. Institutions were buying while the price was falling — a high-conviction accumulation signal. They're deliberately loading up on the dip.
➡️

Steady discovery — ~57 new funds/quarter

69 → 46 → 75 → 61 → 57 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 46 → 75 → 61 → 57. Consistent flow of new institutional buyers without clear acceleration or slowdown.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 74% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 74% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 17% new
Of 364 current holders: 270 (74%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
✅

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds

37% from top-100 AUM funds
40 of 334 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
1.7
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 1.7/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AAP

How many hedge funds hold AAP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AAP vs. share price

Market Analysis: AAP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AAP

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

47 top-rated funds 3 high-conviction
Consensus
7.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
2.6
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AAP
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 19 days 364 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 364 374 -2.67%
13F Shares 80M 78M 3.23%
Total Value $2.87B $4.43B -35.31%
New Positions 61 63 -2
Increased Positions 151 134 +17
Closed Positions 71 53 +18
Reduced Positions 172 201 -29
Total Calls 19 20 -5.0%
Total Puts 19 20 -5.0%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 1.0 Neutral

Statistics: AAP

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Valuation Measures Data as of: --

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PEG Ratio (5yr expected) --
Price/Sales (ttm) --
Price/Book (mrq) --
Enterprise Value/Revenue --
Enterprise Value/EBITDA --
Beta (5Y Monthly) --
Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

Profitability
Profit Margin --
Return on Assets (ttm) --
Return on Equity (ttm) --
Income Statement & Cash Flow
Revenue (ttm) --
Net Income Avi to Common (ttm) --
Diluted EPS (ttm) --
Total Cash (mrq) --
Total Debt/Equity (mrq) --
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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

364 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AAP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of AAP — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Great Hill Capital LLC 0.93% 204,800 $14.3M
2 Fluent Financial, LLC 0.84% 40,633 $2.3M
3 Roberts Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.81% 60,858 $3.2M
4 PZENA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC 0.74% 4,301,089 $226.9M
5 Parrish Capital LLC 0.68% 19,182 $754K
6 Great Hill Capital LLC 0.61% 178,596 $9.4M
7 LGT Financial Advisors LLC 0.54% 2,000 $106K
8 Fearless Solutions, LLC dba Best Invest 0.21% 6,500 $343K
9 REXFORD CAPITAL INC 0.14% 3,700 $195K
10 MOODY NATIONAL BANK TRUST DIVISION 0.08% 15,831 $835K
11 Investors Research Corp 0.05% 5,425 $286K
12 Baer Investment Advisory LLC 0.05% 7,463 $394K
13 VICTORY FINANCIAL GROUP, LLC 0.05% 7,463 $394K
14 ALTFEST L J & CO INC 0.04% 6,548 $345K
15 AlphaQuest LLC 0.04% 16,227 $638K
16 WEDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT L L P/NC 0.03% 33,417 $1.8M
17 WESBANCO BANK INC 0.03% 21,900 $1.2M
18 ROMANO BROTHERS AND COMPANY 0.03% 5,035 $266K
19 COMMONWEALTH EQUITY SERVICES, LLC 0.03% 398,998 $21.0M
20 SALEM INVESTMENT COUNSELORS INC 0.03% 14,625 $771K
21 STEPHENS INC /AR/ 0.03% 38,188 $2.0M
22 Louisiana State Employees Retirement System 0.02% 26,600 $1K
23 BFSG, LLC 0.02% 4,569 $241K
24 Central Pacific Bank - Trust Division 0.02% 3,300 $174K
25 Hilton Head Capital Partners, LLC 0.02% 591 $31K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC (AAP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AAP?

Selling streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds reduced or closed their AAP positions than added to them. Sustained institutional selling is a meaningful warning sign — these are professionals with deep research teams collectively deciding to exit.

What is the institutional breadth score for AAP?

More sellers than buyers — 47% buying: Last quarter: 193 funds reduced or exited vs 174 that bought or added. When more than half of active funds are selling, it's a caution flag — especially if the stock price hasn't moved down yet.

What is the fund quality score for AAP holders?

Strong quality — 37% AUM from major funds: 40 of 334 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 37% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AAP?

70% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 234 out of 334 hedge funds have held AAP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.