Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

363 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +7
Streak
1Q ▲
Buyers last Q
51%

Smart Money Signals — AAP

Based on 366 hedge funds · latest filing: 2026 Q1 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row

last 6Q
For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AAP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
📊

High ownership — 79% of 3.0Y peak

79% of all-time peak
366 funds currently hold this stock — 79% of the 3.0-year high of 465 funds (reached 2023 Q2). Ownership is elevated but not yet at maximum concentration. Room to grow, but watch if the trend reverses.
📶

Steady growth — +7% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+24 new funds entered over the past year (+7% YoY). Gradual, steady growth in institutional ownership is generally a healthy signal — not a speculative rush, but consistent conviction.
🟡

Slight buying edge — 51% buying

189 buying178 selling
Last quarter: 189 funds bought or added vs 178 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.
➡️

Steady new buyers — ~53 new funds per quarter

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening this position for the first time: 80 → 66 → 58 → 53. A stable flow of new institutional buyers suggests ongoing interest without signs of either acceleration or slowdown.
🔒

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years

69% conviction (2yr+) 15% medium 16% new
253 out of 366 hedge funds have held AAP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+26% value, -0% shares)

Value
+25%
Shares
+0%
Last quarter: total value of institutional AAP holdings rose +26% even though funds reduced share count by 0%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
📊

Peak discovery — momentum slowing

49 → 80 → 66 → 58 → 53 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 80 → 66 → 58 → 53. AAP is well-known in the hedge fund world, but fresh entries are gradually declining. The explosive phase of institutional discovery is likely behind us.
🏛️

Veteran-anchored — 73% veterans vs 20% newcomers

73% veterans 7% 1-2yr 20% new
Entry-cohort mix of 394 holders: 286 (73%) are 2+ year veterans, 29 entered 1–2 years ago, and 79 (20%) joined within the past year. A veteran-weighted cap table skews toward institutional memory over fresh momentum.
🏆

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds

48% from top-100 AUM funds
56 of 355 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in AAP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
2.4
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 2.4/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Institutional Sentiment Summary — AAP

In 2026 Q1, 189 hedge funds were net buyers of AAP (53 opened a new position, 136 added to an existing one), while 178 reduced or exited (132 trimmed, 46 sold completely) — a 51% buyer ratio, indicating a slight buying edge. 48% of total institutional value in AAP is held by top-100 AUM funds, reflecting elite-tier ownership quality. Net fund flow last quarter: +7 funds (more new holders than closures). Total institutional holders: 366.

What Fund Managers Are Saying About AAP

▲ 1 bullish
Thomas Hayes · Great Hill Capital long 2026-07-30
Aging US fleet drives deferred maintenance; new CEO targeting 7% margin by 2028 vs $60 stock
▶ Watch on YouTubevia Schwab Network
AI-generated paraphrases of public interviews · informational only, not investment advice · see all manager views

Hedge Fund Ownership: AAP

How many hedge funds hold AAP — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AAP vs. share price

Market Analysis: AAP

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AAP

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Institutional ownership data sourced from SEC EDGAR Form 13F-HR filings.

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Smart Money Signal ?
Limited Smart Money Interest

No strong consensus or elite conviction detected among institutional holders.

16 top-rated funds 4 high-conviction
Consensus
5.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
4.4
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AAP
363 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AAP. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2026 Q2) Prior (2026 Q1) Change
Funds Holding 363 366 -0.82%
13F Shares 81M 81M 0.5%
Total Value $4.27B $3.64B 17.35%
New Positions 59 53 +6
Increased Positions 133 128 +5
Closed Positions 51 46 +5
Reduced Positions 116 125 -9
Total Calls 19 22 -13.64%
Total Puts 14 16 -12.5%
PUT/CALL Ratio 0.74 0.73 Neutral

Statistics: AAP

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q2)

363 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AAP. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

QUARTER:
Top 25 AAP holders by conviction (% of portfolio weight) — 2026 Q2 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 H Partners Management, LLC 45.49% 1,400,000 $87.1M
2 Estuary Capital Management LP 6.48% 613,717 $38.2M
3 Solas Capital Management, LLC 5.64% 169,163 $10.5M
4 Rivermont Capital Management LP 3.09% 350,000 $21.8M
5 Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 2.95% 2,421,040 $150.6M
6 Savoir Faire Capital Management, L.P. 2.88% 74,514 $4.6M
7 Fund 1 Investments, LLC 2.16% 208,924 $13.0M
8 Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP 1.92% 332,910 $20.7M
9 Cramer Rosenthal Mcglynn LLC 1.68% 534,592 $33.3M
10 Tabor Asset Management, LP 1.64% 86,134 $5.4M
11 MAC Alpha Capital Management, LP 1.64% 56,788 $3.5M
12 Elgethun Capital Management 1.54% 177,210 $11.0M
13 Roberts Wealth Advisors, LLC 0.90% 63,778 $4.0M
14 Pursue Wealth Partners LLC 0.82% 23,501 $1.5M
15 Pzena Investment Management LLC 0.80% 4,389,501 $273.1M
16 Private Management Group Inc 0.76% 465,136 $28.9M
17 Bragg Financial Advisors, Inc 0.69% 412,050 $25.6M
18 Royce & Associates LP 0.67% 1,330,783 $82.8M
19 LGT Financial Advisors LLC 0.66% 2,000 $124K
20 Hussman Strategic Advisors, INC. 0.60% 42,000 $2.6M
21 nVerses Capital, LLC 0.47% 4,908 $305K
22 Palumbo Wealth Management LLC 0.47% 35,878 $2.2M
23 Phocas Financial Corp. 0.45% 51,698 $3.2M
24 Gamco Investors, INC. Et Al 0.42% 756,022 $47.0M
25 Veradace Capital Management LLC 0.38% 8,086 $503K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AAP?

Buying streak — 1 quarter in a row: For 1 consecutive quarter, more hedge funds added AAP than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AAP?

Slight buying edge — 51% buying: Last quarter: 189 funds bought or added vs 178 that reduced or exited. It's nearly a 50/50 split — some institutions are convinced, others are taking profits. This mixed picture is normal near price highs.

What is the fund quality score for AAP holders?

Elite ownership — 48% AUM from top-100 funds: 56 of 355 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 48% of total institutional value in AAP. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AAP?

69% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 253 out of 366 hedge funds have held AAP for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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