Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI)

235 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AAOI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

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Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +34
Streak
3Q ▲
Buyers last Q
65%

Smart Money Signals — AAOI

Based on 211 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AAOI than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
211 hedge funds hold AAOI right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +35% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+55 new funds entered over the past year (+35% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 65% buying

154 buying83 selling
Last quarter: 154 funds were net buyers (61 opened a brand new position + 93 added to an existing one). Only 83 were sellers (56 trimmed + 27 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+7 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AAOI position: 28 → 41 → 54 → 61. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years

47% conviction (2yr+) 23% medium 30% new
99 out of 211 hedge funds have held AAOI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Value +50% but shares only +16% — price-driven

Value
+50%
Shares
+16%
Last quarter: the total dollar value of institutional holdings rose +50%, but actual share count only changed +16%. The gap is explained by the stock's price rising — not new buying. Strong value growth with weak share growth means the rally is price momentum, not fresh institutional demand.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

43 → 28 → 41 → 54 → 61 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 28 → 41 → 54 → 61. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 59% of holders stayed 2+ years

59% veterans 12% 1-2yr 29% new
Of 235 current holders: 138 (59%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.

Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds

33% from top-100 AUM funds
34 of 211 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.
4.3
out of 10
Moderate Exit Risk
Exit risk score 4.3/10 — some crowding factors present, but no critical concentration. Watch ownership trend over the next 1–2 quarters for direction.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AAOI

How many hedge funds hold AAOI — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AAOI vs. share price

Market Analysis: AAOI

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AAOI

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Broad Consensus, Selective Conviction

Many quality funds hold this stock, but top-tier positions remain relatively small.

39 top-rated funds 1 high-conviction
Consensus
7.0
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
1.7
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AAOI
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 20 days 235 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AAOI. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 235 205 14.63%
13F Shares 57M 49M 16.2%
Total Value $1.92B $1.27B 50.28%
New Positions 61 57 +4
Increased Positions 134 113 +21
Closed Positions 30 25 +5
Reduced Positions 84 65 +19
Total Calls 15 18 -16.67%
Total Puts 15 16 -6.25%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.0 0.89 Neutral

Statistics: AAOI

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Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

235 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AAOI. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of AAOI — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Ariose Capital Management Ltd 5.91% 104,000 $8.8M
2 1492 Capital Management LLC 4.03% 125,136 $10.6M
3 BLUE JEAN FINANCIAL LLC 3.07% 44,039 $3.7M
4 Global Trust Asset Management, LLC 1.93% 59,562 $5.0M
5 REX Advisers, LLC 1.86% 7,300 $618K
6 Geneva Partners, LLC 1.20% 29,515 $2.5M
7 UNICOM Systems, Inc. 0.59% 68,591 $5.8M
8 REX Advisers, LLC 0.35% 21,900 $115K
9 Oak Harvest Investment Services 0.33% 37,872 $3.2M
10 Artemis Investment Management LLP 0.31% 340,148 $28.8M
11 Dupree Financial Group, LLC 0.28% 8,179 $692K
12 Oliver Luxxe Assets LLC 0.23% 17,928 $1.5M
13 OAK RIDGE INVESTMENTS LLC 0.21% 38,000 $3.2M
14 THOMPSON DAVIS & CO., INC. 0.21% 3,659 $310K
15 SeaCrest Wealth Management, LLC 0.20% 22,145 $1.9M
16 SIERRA SUMMIT ADVISORS LLC 0.12% 10,102 $855K
17 BROWN WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.11% 5,159 $436K
18 JEPPSON WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.10% 3,604 $305K
19 Silverleafe Capital Partners, LLC 0.08% 3,208 $271K
20 GFG Capital, LLC 0.07% 2,555 $216K
21 Abel Hall, LLC 0.07% 3,827 $324K
22 Patten Group, Inc. 0.05% 3,240 $274K
23 Leonteq Securities AG 0.04% 13,513 $1.1M
24 Brooklyn Investment Group 0.03% 12,484 $1.1M
25 Trilogy Capital Inc. 0.03% 6,750 $571K
Investor Ownership
History
% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS INC (AAOI)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AAOI?

Buying streak — 3 quarters in a row: For 3 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AAOI than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AAOI?

More buyers than sellers — 65% buying: Last quarter: 154 funds were net buyers (61 opened a brand new position + 93 added to an existing one). Only 83 were sellers (56 trimmed + 27 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for AAOI holders?

Strong quality — 33% AUM from major funds: 34 of 211 holders rank in the top 100 by AUM, accounting for 33% of total institutional value held. A meaningful share of the ownership value comes from the most well-resourced institutions.

How long have hedge funds held AAOI?

47% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 99 out of 211 hedge funds have held AAOI for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.