Stock Analysis
Data Source: SEC EDGAR 13F
Updated Hourly

ALCOA CORP (AA)

663 + Investors. Track Smart Money conviction in AA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Current Price
-- USD
Analyst Target
-- (0 analysts)
Upside
0.00%
Net Flow Q/Q
↑ +123
Streak
2Q ▲
Buyers last Q
64%

Smart Money Signals — AA

Based on 614 hedge funds · latest filing: 2025 Q4 · updated quarterly

📈

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row

last 6Q
For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.
🏔️

At the ownership peak (100% of max)

100% of all-time peak
614 hedge funds hold AA right now — the highest count in 3.0 years. When ownership is this concentrated, any bad news can trigger a chain reaction: one big fund sells, others follow. This is a classic 'crowded trade' — high popularity doesn't equal safety.
🚀

Fast accumulation — +22% more funds vs a year ago

fund count last 6Q
+112 new funds entered over the past year (+22% YoY). That's a rapid rush of institutional money. Fast accumulation often signals a major thesis — but it also means the stock could fall quickly if that thesis breaks.
🟢

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying

399 buying228 selling
Last quarter: 399 funds were net buyers (193 opened a brand new position + 206 added to an existing one). Only 228 were sellers (158 trimmed + 70 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.
📈

More new buyers each quarter (+96 vs last Q)

new funds entering per quarter
Funds opening a new AA position: 84 → 65 → 97 → 193. A growing influx of new institutional buyers means the asset is still gathering momentum — the consensus hasn't fully saturated yet.
🔒

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years

■ 59% conviction (2yr+) ■ 19% medium ■ 22% new
361 out of 614 hedge funds have held AA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.
💰

Price up while funds trimmed (+70% value, -10% shares)

Value
+70%
Shares
-10%
Last quarter: total value of institutional AA holdings rose +70% even though funds reduced share count by 10%. The stock price increased enough to offset the selling. Institutions are quietly trimming into price strength — watch for rotation.
🚀

Acceleration phase — new buyers rushing in

92 → 84 → 65 → 97 → 193 new funds/Q
New funds entering each quarter: 84 → 65 → 97 → 193. The pace of institutional discovery is accelerating sharply. This is the 'hot idea' phase — the thesis is being passed from fund to fund. You are not late — the accumulation wave is still building.
🏛️

Deep conviction — 68% of holders stayed 2+ years

■ 68% veterans ■ 9% 1-2yr ■ 23% new
Of 663 current holders: 452 (68%) have held for over 2 years without selling. These are not momentum buyers — they have lived through drawdowns and stayed. A large veteran base acts as a stabilizing force during selloffs.
🏆

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds

49% from top-100 AUM funds
45 of 614 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in AA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.
3.9
out of 10
Low Exit Risk
Exit risk score 3.9/10 — low institutional crowding. Ownership is below peak levels, holder base is relatively sticky, and buying momentum is positive.

Methodology note: these Smart Money cards use consecutive 13F disclosure snapshots, not trade-by-trade execution data. "Buying", "selling", "new holders", and "trimmed" refer to quarter-over-quarter changes in reported holders, aggregate shares, or disclosed position values between filings. They are useful for ownership regime analysis and crowding, but they do not imply exact trade timing on the filing date.

Hedge Fund Ownership: AA

How many hedge funds hold AA — quarterly history vs. share price
Quarterly hedge fund ownership of AA vs. share price

Market Analysis: AA

Analyst Price Targets

Avg. Price Target
--

Analyst Recommendations

Stock Performance

Real-time

Company Profile: AA

-- --
Smart Money Signal ?
Strong Institutional Conviction

Multiple high-quality funds hold meaningful positions with strong conviction.

81 top-rated funds 12 high-conviction
Consensus
8.3
/ 10
breadth
×
Elite
6.3
/ 10
conviction
Hedge Fund Positioning: AA
2026 Q1 Stats Unlock in 20 days 663 + Investors

Track Smart Money conviction in AA. See who's accumulating, reducing, or initiating positions.

Metric All 13F Filers (2025 Q4) Prior (2025 Q3) Change
Funds Holding 663 544 21.88%
13F Shares 223M 248M -10.16%
Total Value $11.79B $6.92B 70.27%
New Positions 198 101 +97
Increased Positions 268 251 +17
Closed Positions 75 59 +16
Reduced Positions 219 217 +2
Total Calls 30 29 3.45%
Total Puts 32 31 3.23%
PUT/CALL Ratio 1.07 1.07 Neutral

Statistics: AA

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Short Ratio (Days to Cover) --
Short % of Float --

Financial Highlights

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Institutional Holders (2026 Q1)

663 + investors

Explore institutional interest and hedge fund ownership dynamics. Analyze portfolio weights, new positions, and conviction trends in AA. Verified SEC 13F-HR filings.

Top 25 institutional holders of AA — 2025 Q4 · Source: SEC Form 13F
# Investor % of Portfolio Shares Mkt Value
1 Lesa Sroufe & Co 3.51% 77,650 $5K
2 QSM Asset Management Ltd 2.85% 87,300 $5.8M
3 Brendel Financial Advisors LLC 1.60% 48,798 $3.2M
4 Hosking Partners LLP 1.23% 516,880 $34.3M
5 Douglas Lane & Associates, LLC 0.90% 939,453 $62.3M
6 Fluent Financial, LLC 0.81% 30,112 $2.2M
7 Wesleyan Assurance Society 0.79% 201,571 $13K
8 BW Gestao de Investimentos Ltda. 0.67% 302,358 $20.1M
9 Walser Wealth Management Company, A Ltd Liability Co 0.50% 16,784 $1.1M
10 Myriad Asset Management US LP 0.50% 4,993 $331K
11 HMS Capital Management, LLC 0.48% 18,698 $1.2M
12 Vanguard Capital Wealth Advisors 0.43% 7,040 $467K
13 Robinhood Asset Management, LLC 0.43% 89,106 $5.9M
14 Aegis Wealth Management LLC 0.38% 10,008 $664K
15 SHELTON WEALTH MANAGEMENT, LLC 0.31% 10,520 $698K
16 Putney Financial Group LLC 0.27% 4,106 $272K
17 R Squared Ltd 0.27% 7,488 $497K
18 TriaGen Wealth Management LLC 0.27% 14,782 $980K
19 Emprise Bank 0.25% 9,410 $624K
20 RD Lewis Holdings, Inc. 0.23% 3,603 $264K
21 Cyndeo Wealth Partners, LLC 0.21% 61,389 $4.1M
22 Raiffeisen Bank International AG 0.20% 213,230 $14.1M
23 Fairvoy Private Wealth, LLC 0.20% 12,653 $839K
24 WRIGHT INVESTORS SERVICE INC 0.19% 9,250 $614K
25 Baron Wealth Management LLC 0.18% 9,029 $599K
Investor Ownership
History 		% of Portfolio Prev % Rank Conviction Avg Buy Price 13F Score™ 3Y / 7Y Sell Timing Shares Mkt Value Change Change % Source Quarter Filed

Frequently Asked Questions — ALCOA CORP (AA)

What does the Smart Money Trend signal show for AA?

Buying streak — 2 quarters in a row: For 2 consecutive quarters, more hedge funds added AA than sold it. That's a consistent pattern of professional buying — not a one-time trade. When institutions keep buying quarter after quarter, it usually means they see a multi-year opportunity, not just a short-term momentum flip.

What is the institutional breadth score for AA?

More buyers than sellers — 64% buying: Last quarter: 399 funds were net buyers (193 opened a brand new position + 206 added to an existing one). Only 228 were sellers (158 trimmed + 70 sold completely). A clear majority buying is a strong confirmation signal.

What is the fund quality score for AA holders?

Elite ownership — 49% AUM from top-100 funds: 45 of 614 holders are among the 100 largest funds by AUM, controlling 49% of total institutional value in AA. When the biggest players dominate the cap table, it signifies deep institutional support — since mega-funds deploy the most rigorous due diligence and capital.

How long have hedge funds held AA?

59% of holders stayed for 2+ years: 361 out of 614 hedge funds have held AA for over 2 years without selling. Long-term investors are generally harder to shake out during market stress, creating a stable ownership base that limits the risk of sudden capitulation.

Where does this institutional ownership data come from?

All holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings, which institutional investment managers with over $100 million in assets are required to submit quarterly. Data is parsed directly from SEC EDGAR.

Disclaimer: The information on this page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Institutional holdings data is sourced from SEC Form 13F filings and reflects positions as of the filing date. Past performance of any fund or portfolio is not indicative of future results. 13Foresight is not a registered investment adviser. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.