CMG β€” CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC

Ownership history in Nebula Research & Development LLC  Β·  10 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Nebula Research & Development LLC reported a position in CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC (CMG). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.56% (2023 Q1)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.39%
πŸ“… First filed
2023 Q1
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q4
⏱ Quarters held
10

Position Intelligence

Nebula Research & Development LLC Γ— CMG AI Analytics

πŸ“‰ Nebula Research & Development LLC underperformed the S&P 500 by –14.5% annually on this CMG position. Timing score: 62% (5/8 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $56.13. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –40.9%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
-14.5%
annualised excess return

❌ Significantly underperformed the S&P 500 by 14.5% ann.
9 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
62%

βœ… Decent timing β€” more right than wrong on entries and exits.
5 of 8 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$56.13
-34.1% vs current ($37.00)

Best entry: $34.17 (2023 Q1)  Β·  Worst: $62.65 (2024 Q2)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–40.9%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 1 major drawdown (>20%). Strong conviction under pressure.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
75%
buy-side decisions

6 adds Β· 2 trims. Bought during 2 of 4 down-price quarters. πŸ‚ Consistently bullish β€” fund kept accumulating this position.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.44% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    CMG price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 10 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q4 UNCHANGED 92,980 β€” 0% 0.44% $5.2M $37.00
2025 Q3 UNCHANGED 92,980 β€” 0% 0.44% $5.2M $39.19
2025 Q2 REDUCED 92,980 -3,636 -3.8% 0.44% $5.2M $56.15
2025 Q1 ADDED 96,616 +32,873 +51.6% 0.45% $4.9M $50.21
2024 Q4 ADDED 63,743 +14,078 +28.3% 0.45% $3.8M $60.30
2024 Q3 ADDED 49,665 +35,093 +240.8% 0.34% $2.9M $57.62
2024 Q2 ADDED 14,572 +14,401 +8421.6% 0.15% $913K $62.65
2023 Q4 REDUCED 171 -354 -67.4% 0.12% $391K $45.74
2023 Q3 ADDED 525 +338 +180.7% 0.51% $962K $36.64
2023 Q1 INITIATED 187 β€” β€” 0.56% $319K $34.17
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