ULCC β€” FRONTIER GROUP HLDGS INC

Ownership history in Bayesian Capital Management, LP  Β·  4 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported a position in FRONTIER GROUP HLDGS INC (ULCC). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.03% (2025 Q1)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.02%
πŸ“… First filed
2023 Q1
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
4

Position Intelligence

Bayesian Capital Management, LP Γ— ULCC AI Analytics

πŸ“‰ Bayesian Capital Management, LP underperformed the S&P 500 by –158.8% annually on this ULCC position. Timing score: 33% (1/3 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $5.88. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –55.9%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
-158.8%
annualised excess return

❌ Significantly underperformed the S&P 500 by 158.8% ann.
3 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
33%

⚠️ Poor timing β€” buys often preceded drops, trims preceded rallies.
1 of 3 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$5.88
-25.0% vs current ($4.41)

Best entry: $4.34 (2025 Q1)  Β·  Worst: $9.84 (2023 Q1)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–55.9%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 1 major drawdown (>20%). Strong conviction under pressure.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
75%
buy-side decisions

3 adds Β· 1 trim. Bought during 2 of 2 down-price quarters. πŸ‚ Consistently bullish β€” fund kept accumulating this position.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.02% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    ULCC price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 4 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 REDUCED 17,300 -30,501 -63.8% 0.02% $76K $4.41
2025 Q1 ADDED 47,801 +31,933 +201.2% 0.03% $207K $4.34
2024 Q2 ADDED 15,868 +2,777 +21.2% 0.01% $78K $4.93
2023 Q1 INITIATED 13,091 β€” β€” 0.02% $129K $9.84
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