OGN β€” ORGANON & CO

Ownership history in Bayesian Capital Management, LP  Β·  7 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported a position in ORGANON & CO (OGN). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.34% (2022 Q2)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.15%
πŸ“… First filed
2021 Q2
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
7

Position Intelligence

Bayesian Capital Management, LP Γ— OGN AI Analytics

πŸ“‰ Bayesian Capital Management, LP underperformed the S&P 500 by –79.9% annually on this OGN position. Timing score: 33% (2/6 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $18.48. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –63.6%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
-79.9%
annualised excess return

❌ Significantly underperformed the S&P 500 by 79.9% ann.
6 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
33%

⚠️ Poor timing β€” buys often preceded drops, trims preceded rallies.
2 of 6 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$18.48
-42.5% vs current ($10.63)

Best entry: $10.63 (2025 Q3)  Β·  Worst: $29.23 (2022 Q1)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–63.6%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 1 major drawdown (>20%). Strong conviction under pressure.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
71%
buy-side decisions

5 adds Β· 2 trims. Bought during 2 of 4 down-price quarters. πŸ‚ Consistently bullish β€” fund kept accumulating this position.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.18% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    OGN price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 7 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 ADDED 80,600 +69,400 +619.6% 0.18% $861K $10.63
2024 Q3 REDUCED 11,200 -30,800 -73.3% 0.03% $214K $18.28
2024 Q2 ADDED 42,000 +16,827 +66.8% 0.10% $869K $19.51
2024 Q1 REDUCED 25,173 -29,242 -53.7% 0.05% $473K $17.48
2022 Q2 ADDED 54,415 +2,400 +4.6% 0.34% $1.8M $28.47
2022 Q1 ADDED 52,015 +39,615 +319.5% 0.27% $1.8M $29.23
2021 Q2 INITIATED 12,400 β€” β€” 0.10% $375K $24.70
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