LBRT β€” LIBERTY OILFIELD SVCS INC

Ownership history in Bayesian Capital Management, LP  Β·  7 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported a position in LIBERTY OILFIELD SVCS INC (LBRT). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.1% (2022 Q3)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.05%
πŸ“… First filed
2022 Q1
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
7

Position Intelligence

Bayesian Capital Management, LP Γ— LBRT AI Analytics

πŸ“‰ Bayesian Capital Management, LP underperformed the S&P 500 by –42.8% annually on this LBRT position. Timing score: 50% (3/6 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $12.72. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –19.7%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
-42.8%
annualised excess return

❌ Significantly underperformed the S&P 500 by 42.8% ann.
6 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
50%

➑️ Neutral timing β€” roughly coin-flip accuracy on add/trim calls.
3 of 6 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$12.72
-3.8% vs current ($12.24)

Best entry: $11.96 (2022 Q3)  Β·  Worst: $13.98 (2022 Q1)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–19.7%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’Ž No drawdown exceeding 20% during the holding period β€” exceptionally stable.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
57%
buy-side decisions

4 adds Β· 3 trims. Bought during 3 of 4 down-price quarters. πŸ“ˆ More buys than sells across the holding period.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.05% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    LBRT price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 7 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 ADDED 21,600 +7,500 +53.2% 0.05% $267K $12.24
2023 Q2 REDUCED 14,100 -745 -5.0% 0.02% $189K $12.74
2023 Q1 REDUCED 14,845 -2,500 -14.4% 0.02% $190K $12.16
2022 Q4 REDUCED 17,345 -19,955 -53.5% 0.04% $278K $15.15
2022 Q3 ADDED 37,300 +9,800 +35.6% 0.10% $473K $11.96
2022 Q2 ADDED 27,500 +12,100 +78.6% 0.07% $351K $12.04
2022 Q1 INITIATED 15,400 β€” β€” 0.03% $228K $13.98
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