DK β€” DELEK US HLDGS INC NEW

Ownership history in Bayesian Capital Management, LP  Β·  10 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported a position in DELEK US HLDGS INC NEW (DK). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.2% (2018 Q2)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.08%
πŸ“… First filed
2018 Q1
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
10

Position Intelligence

Bayesian Capital Management, LP Γ— DK AI Analytics

πŸ“‰ Bayesian Capital Management, LP underperformed the S&P 500 by –47.0% annually on this DK position. Timing score: 50% (4/8 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $21.31. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –55.0%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
-47.0%
annualised excess return

❌ Significantly underperformed the S&P 500 by 47.0% ann.
8 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
50%

➑️ Neutral timing β€” roughly coin-flip accuracy on add/trim calls.
4 of 8 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$21.31
+49.5% vs current ($31.86)

Best entry: $17.46 (2024 Q4)  Β·  Worst: $38.77 (2018 Q2)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–55.0%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’ͺ Held through 1 major drawdown (>20%). Strong conviction under pressure.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
50%
buy-side decisions

5 adds Β· 5 trims. Bought during 3 of 4 down-price quarters. πŸ“ˆ More buys than sells across the holding period.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.1% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    DK price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 10 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 REDUCED 14,900 -6,190 -29.4% 0.10% $481K $31.86
2024 Q4 ADDED 21,090 +11,655 +123.5% 0.05% $390K $17.46
2024 Q2 REDUCED 9,435 -11,363 -54.6% 0.03% $234K $22.76
2023 Q2 ADDED 20,798 +10,687 +105.7% 0.05% $498K $21.22
2022 Q2 ADDED 10,111 +4,485 +79.7% 0.05% $261K $21.97
2019 Q3 REDUCED 5,626 -5,574 -49.8% 0.04% $204K $29.09
2019 Q1 REDUCED 11,200 -2,600 -18.8% 0.08% $408K $28.69
2018 Q4 REDUCED 13,800 -3,658 -21.0% 0.09% $449K $25.42
2018 Q2 ADDED 17,458 +2,458 +16.4% 0.20% $876K $38.77
2018 Q1 INITIATED 15,000 β€” β€” 0.16% $610K β€”
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