AUR β€” AURORA INNOVATION INC

Ownership history in Bayesian Capital Management, LP  Β·  4 quarters on record

This page tracks every 13F SEC filing in which Bayesian Capital Management, LP reported a position in AURORA INNOVATION INC (AUR). Data includes quarterly share count, position size as % of portfolio, estimated market value, and end-of-quarter stock price β€” sourced directly from SEC EDGAR 13F filings.

πŸ” Peak position
0.03% (2024 Q2)
πŸ“Š Avg. % of fund
0.02%
πŸ“… First filed
2023 Q1
πŸ“… Last filed
2025 Q3
⏱ Quarters held
4

Position Intelligence

Bayesian Capital Management, LP Γ— AUR AI Analytics

πŸ“ˆ Bayesian Capital Management, LP outperformed the S&P 500 by +194.0% annually on this AUR position. Timing score: 100% (3/3 decisions correct). Average cost basis: $2.59. Maximum drawdown during holding period: –9.0%.

πŸ“ˆ Position Alpha vs SPY
+194.0%
annualised excess return

πŸ”₯ Exceptional β€” beat the S&P 500 by 194.0% per year on this position.
3 quarters analyzed

⏱️ Timing Score
100%

🎯 Smart timing β€” consistently buying dips and trimming near peaks.
3 of 3 add/trim decisions correct

πŸ’° Entry Quality
$2.59
+108.1% vs current ($5.39)

Best entry: $1.39 (2023 Q1)  Β·  Worst: $2.77 (2024 Q2)

πŸ›‘οΈ Drawdown Resilience
–9.0%
max drawdown while held

πŸ’Ž No drawdown exceeding 20% during the holding period β€” exceptionally stable.

πŸ’ͺ Fund Conviction
50%
buy-side decisions

2 adds Β· 2 trims. Bought during 0 of 1 down-price quarters. πŸ“ˆ More buys than sells across the holding period.

πŸ“‘ Position Trajectory
β†’ Stable
last 4–5 quarters trend

βš–οΈ Portfolio weight has remained relatively stable β€” conviction maintained.
Currently 0.03% of portfolio

⚠ Based on quarterly 13F SEC filings and end-of-quarter closing prices. Timing score = accuracy of add/trim decisions vs next-quarter price direction. Alpha = mean quarterly excess return Γ— 4 (annualised). Not investment advice.

% of Fund (quarterly)    AUR price (monthly, adj. close)
πŸ“‹ Quarterly Holdings History 4 quarters  β–Ύ
Quarter Action Shares Change Chg % % of Fund Mkt Value Price (EOQ)
2025 Q3 REDUCED 26,000 -16,862 -39.3% 0.03% $140K $5.39
2024 Q3 REDUCED 42,862 -53,400 -55.5% 0.03% $254K $5.92
2024 Q2 ADDED 96,262 +83,562 +658.0% 0.03% $267K $2.77
2023 Q1 INITIATED 12,700 β€” β€” 0.00% $18K $1.39
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