Alvaro Serrano (Morgan Stanley) — Analyst Ratings, Accuracy & Track Record

Q: How accurate are Alvaro Serrano's stock ratings?

About 80% of Alvaro's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of +23.9% per rating, measured by 13Foresight from historical prices.

Q: How is Alvaro ranked?

Alvaro Serrano is ranked #446 on 13Foresight, scored on hit rate, average return versus the market, and number of calls.

Analyst Tracker/Alvaro Serrano

Alvaro Serrano

Morgan Stanley

Wall Street Analyst

★★★★☆

#446

on 13Foresight · ranked by our own returns

80%

Success Rate

+23.9%

Average Return

4 of 5 calls profitable · +8.5% vs benchmark

Time Frame ⓘ

1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr

Compare To ⓘ

📈 Across the calls we could measure, roughly 80% of Alvaro Serrano's ratings turned a profit when each position was held for 1 year — averaging +23.9% per rating. These figures are computed by 13Foresight from historical prices, not supplied by the analyst.

Rating Distribution

28 Buy 41 Hold 7 Sell

Alvaro's Stock Coverage 27 ratings · 2026-06-18

Company	Date	Position	Consensus ⓘ	Price Target ⓘ	1-Yr Return
GB:HSBA HSBC Holdings	May 21, 2026	HOLD	Buy -10.5% avg upside 16 analysts	$1470.38 1.98% Upside	·
DE:CBK Commerzbank	May 17, 2026	HOLD	Buy -29.0% avg upside 21 analysts	$39.50 2.87% Upside	·
ES:UNI Unicaja Banco SA	May 06, 2026	SELL	Hold -31.7% avg upside 4 analysts	$2.40 23.21% Downside	·
DE:BIRG Bank Of Ireland Group plc	May 01, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -16.5% avg upside 12 analysts	$19.00 2.97% Upside	·
ES:SAN Banco Santander	Apr 30, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -33.8% avg upside 13 analysts	$12.30 3.59% Upside	·
GB:LLOY Lloyds Banking	Apr 29, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -6.5% avg upside 13 analysts	$125.00 17.79% Upside	·
GB:BARC Barclays	Apr 28, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -15.2% avg upside 13 analysts	$540.00 7.87% Upside	·
GB:NWG NatWest Group	Mar 24, 2026	HOLD	Buy +1.1% avg upside 11 analysts	$700.00 9.18% Upside	·
ES:BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria	Feb 05, 2026	HOLD	Strong Buy -36.9% avg upside 16 analysts	$20.70 3.69% Downside	·
ES:CABK CAIXABANK	Jan 05, 2026	HOLD	Buy -35.3% avg upside 10 analysts	$10.90 13.37% Downside	·
IT:ISP Intesa Sanpaolo SpA	Jan 05, 2026	BUY	Strong Buy -19.6% avg upside 13 analysts	$7.20 16.99% Upside	·
ES:BKT Bankinter	Jan 05, 2026	HOLD	Buy -32.9% avg upside 12 analysts	$14.50 3.31% Downside	·
IT:BAMI Banco BPM S.p.A.	Jan 05, 2026	SELL	Sell -57.4% avg upside 5 analysts	$14.00 11.66% Downside	·
GB:BPT Bridgepoint Group Plc	Nov 24, 2025	BUY	Strong Buy +33.0% avg upside 6 analysts	$360.00 47.79% Upside	·
IT:UCG UniCredit SpA	Nov 24, 2025	HOLD	Strong Buy -17.6% avg upside 9 analysts	$76.00 5.10% Downside	·
AIBRF AIB Group	Nov 24, 2025	HOLD	Buy -25.7% avg upside 12 analysts	$11.06 8.07% Downside	+5.8%
IT:MB Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario S.p.A.	Sep 02, 2025	HOLD	Buy -48.4% avg upside 6 analysts	—	·
NBNKF Nordea Bank Abp	Mar 07, 2025	BUY	Hold -15.8% avg upside 10 analysts	$17.86 3.83% Upside	·
NL:INGA ING GROEP	Mar 07, 2025	HOLD	Buy -12.6% avg upside 13 analysts	$21.00 23.61% Downside	·
NWG NatWest Group	Feb 19, 2024	HOLD	Strong Buy -58.3% avg upside 9 analysts	$3.60 78.79% Downside	+102.3%
DE:DBK Deutsche Bank AG	Apr 27, 2023	HOLD	Buy -20.4% avg upside 29 analysts	$12.00 61.11% Downside	·
ES:SAB Banco de Sabadell	Nov 23, 2022	HOLD	Buy -31.5% avg upside 7 analysts	$1.10 64.95% Downside	·
LYG Lloyds Banking	Oct 17, 2022	HOLD	Sell 7 analysts	—	+16.6%
IT:BFF BFF Bank SpA	May 20, 2022	BUY	Strong Buy +272.6% avg upside 2 analysts	$10.50 233.01% Upside	·
BBVA Banco Bilbao	Jul 07, 2021	HOLD	Buy -60.4% avg upside 9 analysts	$6.45 73.84% Downside	-23.5%
GB:SMIN Smiths Group plc	Sep 28, 2020	HOLD	Buy -16.4% avg upside 14 analysts	$1480.00 43.09% Downside	·
SCGLY Societe Generale	Jan 09, 2019	HOLD	Buy +132.1% avg upside 8 analysts	$46.09 155.39% Upside	+18.1%

🔒 22 more ratings — with price targets, crowd consensus and our measured returns.

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Alvaro Serrano — Frequently Asked Questions

How accurate are Alvaro Serrano's stock ratings?

Based on the calls 13Foresight could measure, about 80% of Alvaro's ratings were profitable over a one-year hold, with an average return of +23.9% per rating, or +8.5% versus the S&P 500. We score every analyst the same way, from historical prices.

How is Alvaro ranked on 13Foresight?

Alvaro Serrano is currently ranked #446 with a 4-star rating. Our rank blends hit rate, average return versus the market, and how many calls we have to judge — so a long, consistent record outweighs a few lucky picks. It is our own calculation, updated daily.

Which stocks does Alvaro cover?

Alvaro most recently has ratings on GB:HSBA, DE:CBK, ES:UNI, DE:BIRG, ES:SAN, GB:LLOY, GB:BARC, GB:NWG, ES:BBVA, ES:CABK, IT:ISP, ES:BKT and 15 more. See the full coverage table above for positions, price targets and our measured returns.

Where can I see other analyst ratings?

Browse the full analyst leaderboard to compare Wall Street analysts ranked by their measured performance, success rate and average return.

Disclaimer: 13Foresight compiles analyst ratings and price targets from publicly available sources. Performance metrics, rankings and star ratings shown here are calculated independently by 13Foresight from historical market prices and may differ from figures published elsewhere. This information may be incomplete, delayed or inaccurate, is provided for research and informational purposes only, and is not investment advice. The underlying ratings and opinions are those of the respective analysts and their firms; 13Foresight accepts no liability for any decisions made based on this data.

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